Key Points

The aftershocks of the crash have not yet subsided, and a more turbulent market wave is brewing! Next week, the global market will face the 'Federal Reserve information war'—from Chairman Powell to several core board members, over 7 significant speeches will take the stage in succession, which will undoubtedly be a key week in determining the market direction.

📅 Weekly Focus: Fully locked on the 'Federal Reserve'

After experiencing a shocking crash, the market is like a frightened bird, with all eyes focused on the Federal Reserve. Investors are closely watching every statement from the officials, trying to capture key signals about the future interest rate path.

🔴 Key Event 1: Powell's tone-setting (Tuesday 23:30)

• Market “barometer” speaks: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will appear at a critical moment. Whether his stance on the “higher for longer” interest rate policy softens will directly determine if the market will see a rebound or continue to sink.

🔴 Core Event Two: The Federal Reserve's “core lineup” makes concentrated moves

• The “hawk-dove” game intensifies: Officials like Waller (who will speak twice), Bowman, and other powerful officials will sequentially make statements. It’s important to focus on whether they release “hawkish” signals (supporting rate hikes) or “dovish” tendencies (supporting easing) to piece together the Federal Reserve's true policy intentions.

🔴 Core Event Three: Economic “Check-up Report” — Beige Book (Thursday 02:00)

• This report will unveil the true state of the US economy under high interest rates. If the report signals economic slowdown or weak employment, it could become an important catalyst for a market shift.

💥 Two major uncertainties “bombs”

1. Data “blind spot” risk: Initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending October 11 (release time on Thursday TBD).

◦ Key hidden dangers: If the US government continues to shut down, this data will be delayed in release! The market will fall into a “blind zone” lacking key employment data guidance, and volatility may be significantly amplified.

2. Government shutdown crisis continues:

◦ The current deadlock not only threatens the normal release of economic data but also directly impacts market confidence, forcing the Federal Reserve to face more constraints in policy-making.

🎯 Asset impact: How should your capital be allocated?

• Cryptocurrency/US Stocks: The volatility pattern may continue! The “dovish” signals will fuel a surge in prices, while “hawkish” statements may trigger a crash.

• US Treasuries and gold: This week’s “safe haven” attributes are expected to continue. If the market shows risk aversion or the Federal Reserve releases dovish signals, both prices may further rise.

Summary

Next week's market will be completely dominated by the Federal Reserve. Traders need to “fasten their seatbelts” in advance and prepare for this major market upheaval triggered by policy statements! Remember three key points: Powell's speech, initial jobless claims data, and government shutdown progress.

Do you need me to further optimize the expression for a certain part, such as making the “asset impact” section more relatable to ordinary investors, or simplifying the logic of interpreting “core events”? #美联储降息预期升温 #Solana质押型ETF