In 2025, the cryptocurrency world presents an abnormal phenomenon. Positive news leads to declines, negative news leads to rises, showing that the market has been disrupted by global capital and government intervention. Reviewing events such as the 2021 double-top bull market and the 2022 LUNA crash reveals that the market has been institutionalized and politicized. Current investors are divided into holders, traders, builders, and five other groups. Future trends point towards institutionalization, technological innovation, and compliance. It is advised that investors lower expectations, focus on mainstream assets, improve skills, and maintain long-termism. Although the cryptocurrency world has become boring, there are still huge opportunities for those who delve deeply.
This year, there is a strange phenomenon in the cryptocurrency world?
Clearly beneficial, yet the market should be falling; clearly detrimental, yet the market rises. It can be said that anyone you interacted with in the cryptocurrency world this year would express such sentiments. Whether old or new investors, they all believe: trading cryptocurrencies in 2025 is simply too difficult, and the reality is indeed so. The reasons are actually quite simple.
Because: different interest groups. From 202 to now, after Bitcoin's market value has entered the global top ten, the sky has changed. Bitcoin, a new track and model that has only existed for 12 years, has defeated those old counterparts with decades or even centuries of accumulation. The key is that it is still 'ownerless', which is not allowed in today's society as it challenges the authority of any country. Therefore, global capital and regulatory bodies have entered the scene to disrupt the rhythm of the cryptocurrency world, causing what was supposed to happen not to happen and what was not supposed to happen to happen repeatedly. Those trading in the cryptocurrency world are pure because the past cryptocurrency world has too many myths of getting rich quickly.
So countless retail investors flock in globally, just to be able to turn a bicycle into a motorcycle in the cryptocurrency world. However, the underlying structure of the cryptocurrency world changed as early as 2021, but most of us did not notice. To remind everyone of a few significant events in the cryptocurrency world, you will know the truth from the false.
First, the bull market of 2021 experienced a 'distorted' monthly double-top bull market. First, from May 5 to 19, 2021, the cryptocurrency market plummeted by 50%, plunging into extreme despair, and then it was crazily driven up by the powerful breakthrough of historical highs from September to November 2021. This kind of short-term ice and fire trading technique has harvested 95% of the market. This level of capital manipulation is no longer the cryptocurrency world of the past.
Secondly, the 2022 bear market explosive events exceeded the cognitive ceiling of over 95% of investors. Representative event: the LUNA crash, a top 10 market cap cryptocurrency, fell from $90 to $0.00004 in a month. The most terrifying thing is that in a mature secondary market, spot can return to zero in such a short time; this is the first occurrence in history you could say it was purely a disaster.
The cryptocurrency world has not seen such occurrences before, but such a decline is indeed a first. This is not something that simple retail investor and institutional selling pressure can achieve; there is a more frightening existence behind it. Following that, there were exchange explosions, FTX collapsed, and the Binance founder was sued. The summary for 2022 is: Regulatory bodies seeking 'sheep' in the cryptocurrency world for reckoning. It seems that those who have been cast into the 'cold palace' by the big shots are actually still paying the bill in the end. They are just a flag, and the purpose is just a legal guise for predation.
Thirdly, the cryptocurrency world in 2023 has completely become a 'casino'. After the bloody suppression of 2022, the market in 2023 is surprisingly good. As long as you dare to heavily invest, dare to chase hot spots and new concepts, you can make a fortune. For example: the Hong Kong sector at the beginning of 2023 with CFX, INJ, Kas, and then the inscription sector, MEME sector, etc. In contrast, 2023 has been an incredibly torturous year for value investors because looking around, 'value coins' are indeed a miserable sight. The cryptocurrency world has undergone a significant 'blood transfusion' from 2021 to 2024.
2025 will be very difficult, which is not surprising. Of course, thinking about it the other way is a good thing; the more 'targeted' it is, the more it can move towards normalization. Every day we are bombarded with countless 'free messages' from media, influencers, institutions, and regulatory bodies. They are just trying to guide public emotions to gain recognition and support, and not necessarily to make the public better. Once the public chooses to believe, it is equivalent to contributing to someone else's beautiful life, and afterward, if you get sold out, you will blame yourself. This is simply understood as: in mahjong, some people start making money continuously, but after receiving a phone call, going to the bathroom, or changing positions, they find that their luck has turned bad, leading to continuous losses. In fact, you did nothing wrong, but these seemingly 'normal' operations are traps set by others. Of course, if you believe it, you will understand the logic behind it, which is exactly the same as trading cryptocurrencies. Understanding the tricks of mahjong.
You will understand why it was easy to make money at first, but later it became so difficult to earn, while losing became so simple. Today's article has a lot of words, if you read it patiently, it will greatly help your cryptocurrency trading career. Money is yours, and the coins are also chosen by everyone. Bull or bear entirely comes from self-awareness. Rationally view the market, invest cautiously, and keep your money bag tight!
What are people in the cryptocurrency world doing?
5 types of survival states
1. Zen Holder (40%)
Strategy: Only hold BTC/ETH, unconcerned with short-term fluctuations.
Typical statement: 'The ups and downs don't matter, hold for ten years and then talk.'
2. Professional traders (20%)
Strategy: Quantitative, arbitrage, trend following, stay away from altcoins.
Typical tools: TradingView, on-chain data analysis (Nansen).
3. Builders (15%) role: Developers, project parties, VC investors.
Focus points: Modular blockchain, ZK technology, RWA.
4. 'Wool Party' (15%) strategy: Focus on airdrops, testnet interactions, on-chain mining.
Typical behavior: batch farming potential airdrops from Starknet, zkSync, etc.
5. Those who leave (10%) reason: severe losses, loss of interest, switching to US stocks/A-shares.
Typical statement: 'The cryptocurrency world is all a scam, I'm never playing again.'
Four, future trends: How will the cryptocurrency world evolve?
1. Institutionalization and compliance of Bitcoin ETFs attract traditional funds, but retail investors' voice diminishes. SEC regulation may eliminate 90% of altcoins, and survivors must prove their utility.
2. Technological innovation drives the next cycle. ZK-Rollups, modular blockchain (Celestia, EigenLayer) may become new narratives. RWA (real-world assets): tokenization of US debt, on-chain real estate.
3. Community dynamics change: public domains become quiet, while private domains are active: quality information shifts to closed circles (DAO, VC clubs).
KOL transformation: fewer signal callers, more technical analysts and on-chain researchers are more popular.
4. Where are the money-making opportunities?
BTC/ETH: Still the safest choice, especially suitable for dollar-cost averaging.
Early layout in new tracks: Depin (Helium, Hivemapper), AI (Bittensor, Akash).
Airdrops and on-chain interactions: potential airdrop projects like Starknet, LayerZero. Five, how should ordinary players respond?
1. Lower expectations and abandon fantasies of getting rich. Goal: An annualized return of 30-50% is already top-level; don't fantasize about 'hundredfold coins'.
2. Focus on mainstream assets + compliant track allocation: 70% BTC/ETH, 20% new tracks (RWA, Depin), 10% cash reserve.
3. Shift from 'trading cryptocurrencies' to 'learning' skills: learning on-chain analysis, smart contract interaction, and improving cognitive barriers.
Tools: Nansen, Dune Analytics, Arkham.
4. Be cautious with leverage, protect your principal. Contract leverage ≤ 3 times; avoid single trades exceeding 5% of position.
5. Long-termism, waiting for the next cycle's historical pattern: a major bull market every 4 years, 2025 may welcome a new peak.
Six, the cryptocurrency world is not cooling down, it's just becoming more 'boring'. Short term: speculation retreats, communities become quiet, making money is harder. Long term: the industry is healthier, opportunities are more concentrated in technology, compliance, and institutionalization.
Advice: If you are willing to dig deep, there are still huge opportunities.
8000 entering the cryptocurrency world to 20 million, with a success rate as high as 95% using the most handy methods, 6 major rules. If you learn these, it's possible to easily earn 1 million from 100,000!
One, only participate in the irreversible upward trends of the market. 'Only participate in the irreversible upward trends of the market', the market is a fact, it cannot be questioned or challenged. Trends are irreversible, as investors, you must dare to admit mistakes, correct them at any time, reject uncertain markets, and do those that even the big players must follow.
Two, refuse frequent trading. The casino opens 24 hours a day; there is no need to frequently place orders. There are many logics such as timing, trial and error, and position control. We advocate waiting for the perfect moment like a hunter, rather than randomly investing as soon as you see prey.
Three, do not blindly trust technical indicators. First, we must admit that any technical indicator has its lag. For example, when the MACD indicator issues a golden cross buy signal, the coin has already risen, and when the golden cross occurs, you might just be the one taking the bag!
Four, buy and forget about the cost price. When you short or long, the cost price has no relation to any subsequent operations because whether to sell depends on market trends, and it has no relation to whether you are still profitable now. If the pattern is good, continue to hold; if the pattern worsens, reduce positions or even liquidate.
Five, use funds you can afford to lose to participate. Use spare money to trade cryptocurrencies; investment carries risks. Investors can increase their investment after mastering the game's profit tricks. Before that, always participate with funds you can afford to lose, borrowing money often leads to severe losses!
Six, ensure profits are withdrawn on time. Without withdrawing, everything is just numbers. Cryptocurrency investors are like gamblers who haven't left the casino. Even if you temporarily make a lot of money, you can't be considered a winner. Only when you extract cash from the market can you say you laughed last. In the cryptocurrency world, withdrawing profits on time is a good habit.
There is the dumbest method to trade cryptocurrencies, with almost 100% profit. It all started with serious research on C coins. I had a senior who used to run a supermarket, and then he got into the cryptocurrency world. He began to study trading seriously and achieved a turnaround in life, now his assets have reached 8 digits.
He uses this method which is actually very simple, just 4 steps back and forth: selecting coins, buying in, position management, and selling. Every detail will be explained clearly to you!
You need to know the principles that apply across all industries: three years to enter the industry, five years to understand it, ten years to become a king.
Trading is not about becoming rich in one go, but about reasonable profits that can be sustained over the long term and with high probability, thus allowing you to continuously acquire wealth.
Professionals create value; details determine success or failure. If you feel helpless or confused trading in the cryptocurrency world, I hope my sharing can inspire and help you!
Meeting is fate; knowing each other is separation. Brother Jun firmly believes that fate will lead to meeting across a thousand miles, while accidental encounters are destiny. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are merely the tip of the iceberg. Remember, the wise may have one error in a thousand calculations, while the foolish may have one success in a thousand. Regardless of emotions, time will not stop for you. Pick up the worries in your heart, stand up again, and get ready to move forward. I am (Jun Brother Crypto), with 7 years of deep cultivation in the cryptocurrency world, short-term speculation reveals the truth, and mid-to-long-term layout has its rules. Precisely capture the optimal trading opportunities; my insights empower your investment decisions. Choose the right direction, find the right rhythm, this place has the professional perspective you need.$BTC
