📌 Key Points
BTC is at 113,929.62 USDT, close to the resistance level of 114,000–115,000 USD; if it successfully breaks out, it could extend the rally to 118,000 USD.
Volume and inflow into BTC have increased sharply for the past 3 days, along with significant buying activity from whales and organizations like MicroStrategy, reinforcing confidence in the upward trend.
Key altcoins like ETH, SOL, and XRP may benefit from BTC's heat, especially when the overall market is shifting to a positive state.
🎯 Opportunity
Information/ News (Advantage 📈)
Whales buying in: Transferring 840 BTC from Binance shows accumulation signals, expecting a short-term price increase.
Organizations are increasing holdings: MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 196 BTC, raising the total holding to >640,000 BTC, creating long-term demand.
History of October: BTC once increased by up to 60% this month, historical data leans towards the possibility of a breakout.
Inflow: In the last 3 days, the net inflow into BTC is ~337 million USD, reflecting investor confidence.
Technical (Advantage 📈)
The MACD on the 4H and daily chart is above 0, the DIF line crosses up the DEA, indicating that an upward trend is forming.
KDJ is in the high zone but has not yet created a strong bearish divergence, indicating that buying pressure still dominates.
The Long/Short ratio for the entire market is ~2.05 and the elite accounts are ~1.99, leaning towards a long trend.
Active buying exceeds selling in some timeframes (bid/ask ratio >1), especially during periods of liquidity explosion.
🚨 Risk
(Medium Level 🤔) Strong resistance at 115,000 USD may trigger short-term profit-taking.
(Medium Level 🤔) The KDJ index is approaching the overbought zone, posing a risk of a correction.
(Low Level ✅) The funding rate is currently 0, there is no pressure from contract fees, but this also means that the signal is not strong enough to sustain a long-term uptrend if the cash flow weakens.
⚡ Action (Trend: Up 📈)
Trading pair & Current price
BTC/USDT: 113,929.62 USDT
Short-term strategy
Going Long 📈: Entering at 113,500–114,000 USD
Stop-loss:
112,000 USD (50% position)
111,200 USD (30% position)
Take-profit:
115,200 USD (40% position)
117,000 USD (40% position)
118,500 USD (20% position)
Medium to long-term strategy
Going Long 📈: Entering at 112,500–113,000 USD
Stop-loss:
110,000 USD (50% position)
108,500 USD (30% position)
Take-profit:
120,000 USD (40% position)
124,000 USD (40% position)
128,000 USD (20% position)
Synthesis strategy
Maintain the main Long position in BTC while allocating some capital into ETH and SOL if BTC breaks 115,000 USD to take advantage of the spillover effect.
Add high volatility tokens like PEPE and SUI in small proportions to catch short-term waves.
XRP, DOGE, and ADA may enter after BTC confirms an upward trend to benefit from market sentiment.
📚 Summary
BTC is approaching the 115,000 USD threshold with many technical signals and supportive cash flow, the opportunity for a breakout is quite clear; investors should prepare for 'sharks' in a hunting mindset, when BTC surpasses 115K, altcoins will also 'rocket'!