Recently, Arthur Hayes mentioned that we have entered the middle of a bull market, and DAT (Decentralized Asset Tokenization Exchange/Company) may experience an outbreak of 'FTX-like incidents.'

Many people's first reaction is: Did the price crash?

But the real risk is not price volatility, but the 'chain of companies turning token market value into credit':
Market rises → Token appreciates → Using tokens as collateral for expansion (lending, market making, issuing new products)

Once liquidity or confidence reverses, this credit chain can break like a domino effect.

The ones that are in trouble are the balance sheet and trust in custody, not just the market situation.

🔎 Three signals to watch closely

  • Token unlocking and team selling pressure window

  • Company market value vs on-chain/custodial asset ratio (the greater the disparity, the more dangerous)

  • Stablecoin and market-making fund flow (whether short-term funds are overly fed into high-leverage platforms)

Three practical suggestions


Prioritize projects with real cash flow and transparent on-chain income (infrastructure, staking, auditable vaults)

Stay vigilant about high leverage and high innovation DATs, carefully review custodial and audit terms

Maintain a portion of positions in low-correlation hard assets/stable income for hedging

In summary, the liquidity of a bull market can create opportunities and also create vulnerabilities in credit—it's better to focus on the balance sheet than on prices.

#加密宏观 #风险提示 #DAT #FTX #牛市