The altcoin season index from CoinMarketCap reached 71 out of 100 — a maximum in the last 9 months. This means that over 70% of the top 100 altcoins are outperforming BTC in returns over 90 days. But should this be considered the beginning of the alt season — or is the market overheated?
🔍 Who is outrunning BTC?
BTC showed a growth of 9.18% over 90 days. And here are the altcoins:
- MYX +17,212%
- M +3,545%
- OKB +303%
- PENGU +257%
- ENA, CRO, CFX, LINK, ETH — all above 75%
Such numbers look like an alt season, but it is important to understand — many of them are related to unlockings, listings, and short-term events.
📈 Historical Patterns
Alt seasons 2017, 2021 and 2023 began with BTC dominance below 50% and ETH growth. Currently, BTC dominance is 57.5%, ETH is 13.4%. This indicates partial fragmentation, but not a complete transition to altcoins.
🧠 How to distinguish growth from speculation?
- Is there a foundation: active developers, TVL, real demand
- Is the tokenomics transparent: are there no hidden emissions or manipulations
- Is there an influx of new users, not just capital rotation
📌 Conclusion:
The growth of altcoins is a fact. But an alt season is not just numbers, but a structural shift. For now, we see a surge in interest, but not a stable change of leaders.
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