Bitcacher

How RSI and MACD Work in BTC Analysis:

🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
What it measures: the strength and speed of price movement.
Scale: from 0 to 100
- 70 and above → market is overbought, a downward correction is possible
- 30 and below → market is oversold, an upward bounce is possible
- 50 - neutral zone, one can observe in which direction the momentum shifts

Example on BTC:
If RSI rises above 70, and the price is at resistance - a sell signal may occur. If RSI is around 30 and the price is at support - an upward reversal may occur.

🔹 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
What it shows: trend change and momentum strength
Consists of:
- MACD line: the difference between the fast (usually EMA12) and slow (EMA26) exponential moving averages
- Signal line: EMA of the MACD line itself (usually EMA9)
- Histogram: the distance between these lines

Key signals:
- MACD above the signal line → bullish signal
- MACD below the signal line → bearish signal
- Crossing zero upwards - strengthening of the bullish trend
- Crossing zero downwards - bearish reversal

Example on BTC:
If the price starts to rise, and MACD crosses the signal line from below upwards - this confirms the rise and a possible entry.

$BTC

Swing Trading in Crypto: A Strategy Between Impulse and Patience

In a world where every candle can become a headline, swing trading offers a rare luxury - time. This is a strategy for those who do not chase every tick, but are also not willing to wait for years. Swing traders catch movements lasting from a couple of days to several weeks, using technical analysis, support/resistance levels, and indicators like RSI, MACD, and EMA.

In crypto, where volatility is not a bug but a feature, swing trading allows for profit extraction from market fluctuations without the need for constant presence at the monitor. The main thing is discipline: a clear entry and exit plan, stop-losses, and emotional control. This is not a guessing game, but a methodical work with probabilities.

Swing is not just a strategy. It is a mindset: to see the trend, but not dissolve in it. To be in the market, but not be its hostage.

#SwingTradingStrategy

Elon Musk continues to turn X into a 'super app' with features ranging from communication to finance. In 2025, the launch of X Money is planned - an integrated service for investments, trading, tipping, and shopping. There is information about a partnership with Visa and the development of a digital wallet with the ability to issue debit cards. Although CEO of X Linda Yaccarino has not confirmed support for cryptocurrencies, considering Musk's interest and Tesla's Bitcoin reserves, integration seems like a logical step. The main intrigue is how regulatory issues will be addressed. If crypto enters X, it could change the game in Web3.

#XSuperApp

$USDC continues to confidently maintain parity with the dollar, despite market turbulence. Its transparent structure, monthly audits, and high liquidity make it a key tool for trading and DeFi. In the context of tightening regulation and growing demand for stable assets, USDC remains one of the most reliable stablecoins. Today it is used not only for hedging but also as a means of fast cross-border payments. Keep an eye on the volumes on the chains - they reflect institutional interest.

The Fed has once again kept rates unchanged despite a decline in inflation, emphasizing the need for additional data. Powell remained cautious: the regulator seeks confirmation of the trend's resilience before moving towards easing. Meanwhile, political pressure is mounting: Donald Trump is calling for an immediate 2% cut, labeling Powell as 'stupid.' This intensifies the divide between economic pragmatism and populist rhetoric. The Fed forecasts two cuts in 2025, but short-term dynamics indicate a possible delay.

Do I expect rate cuts this year? Given the Fed's restraint and data uncertainty, the first cut is likely not to occur before fall. As long as the regulator does not see a sustainable slowdown in inflation, the pause is likely to continue.

#PowellRemarks

Issuer $USDC company Circle conducted an IPO, raising over $1.1 billion, with its shares soaring by 168% on the first day of trading. In the stablecoin sector, USDC holds about 29% of the market with a capitalization of $61.5 billion, remaining the second-largest stablecoin after USDT.

The adoption of the GENIUS Act marks a new stage in cryptocurrency regulation in the United States. The bill establishes strict requirements for stablecoins, including mandatory reserve backing with liquid assets and monthly disclosure of reserves. This could enhance trust in digital assets, accelerate their integration into traditional finance, and attract institutional investors. However, restrictions on major tech companies from issuing their own stablecoins may alter the competitive landscape. If the House of Representatives supports the bill, stablecoins could become a key component of the global financial system, providing transparency and reliability in digital transactions.

#GENIUSActPass

The Fed is likely to keep the rate at 4.5%, despite pressure from President Trump. Inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 2.4% in May, reducing the likelihood of immediate policy easing. However, the market remains on alert, especially considering Powell's recent statements about the readiness to act with changes in macroeconomic conditions.

Ahead of the announcement, I maintain a cautious approach, analyzing the market's reaction to the latest economic data. If the rate remains unchanged, it could support the dollar, but further comments from the Fed will be key to determining the direction of movement.

#FOMCMeeting

$BTC
- Price: $105,440
- Trend: Upward (+1.57% in 24 hours)
- All-time high: $111,970
- Indicators:
- RSI: 62 (neutral zone)
- MACD: above the signal line, confirming bullish momentum
- Volume: high ($57.67B), supports upward movement

BTC demonstrates steady growth, but local corrections are possible. Key resistance levels - $106,200 and $108,700. Support - $103,170. If the price holds above $106,200, a test of $110,000 is possible.

Vietnam has taken a historic step by adopting the Digital Technology Industry Law, which officially legalizes cryptocurrencies and introduces clear regulatory rules. Starting from January 1, 2026, digital assets will be classified as 'virtual assets' and 'crypto assets', laying the groundwork for licensing, tax regulation, and anti-money laundering measures.

This law not only strengthens Vietnam's position in the crypto industry but also offers tax benefits and incentives for blockchain startups, helping the country become a technological hub. Vietnam also aims to improve its reputation in international financial rankings by addressing shortcomings in AML regulation. This is an important step towards a safe and transparent crypto market in Southeast Asia.

#VietnamCryptoPolicy

The Japanese investment company Metaplanet continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, strengthening its position among corporate holders of digital assets. The latest BTC purchase highlights the company's strategic vision, viewing Bitcoin not as a speculative tool, but as a long-term asset for capital preservation. This move makes Metaplanet a kind of equivalent to MicroStrategy in Asia, showing that institutional adoption of BTC goes far beyond the West. It is also a signal to other Japanese and international companies: revising treasury strategies in favor of digital assets is no longer just a trend, but a necessity in the face of global economic uncertainty.

#MetaplanetBTCPurchase

Cardano $ADA continues to strengthen its position in the cryptocurrency market thanks to sustainable development and a scientific approach.

The network is actively implementing scalable solutions, including Hydra to increase transaction speed. The launch of new stablecoins and the growth of the DeFi ecosystem may attract more users. An important factor remains the development of smart contracts on Plutus, which enhances Cardano's competitiveness.

Institutional interest and potential ETF approval may also affect the price. However, competition with Ethereum and Solana requires accelerated innovation. If the team implements the planned updates, ADA may show confident growth in 2025.

Charles Hoskinson proposed to invest 100 million dollars in ADA from the Cardano treasury to strengthen the DeFi ecosystem by purchasing BTC and native stablecoins (USDM, USDA, IUSD). This is a step towards increasing liquidity and stability, but the community is divided: some see it as strategic development, while others fear pressure on the price of ADA. Hoskinson claims that the market is liquid enough to absorb the sale of ADA without sharp fluctuations. In the long term, this could enhance confidence in Cardano, but success depends on implementation and market conditions.

In the long term, this step could strengthen Cardano's DeFi ecosystem, increase liquidity, and build investor trust. However, risks include potential pressure on the price of ADA and uncertainty in market conditions. If the initiative proves successful, it could attract more users and developers, solidifying Cardano's position in DeFi. Otherwise, the community may face governance issues and volatility. The ultimate impact on the value of ADA will depend on the effectiveness of implementation and market response.

#CardanoDebate

Vulnerabilities in Ethereum smart contracts can significantly impact the price $ETH .

Main consequences:

1. Loss of investor trust – major hacks, like the attack on The DAO, lead to mass sell-offs and price drops.

2. Regulatory pressure – vulnerabilities may increase scrutiny from regulators, reducing Ethereum's appeal to institutional investors.

3. Decreased DeFi activity – if users fear exploits, trading volumes and liquidity in the Ethereum ecosystem decline.

BTC: Technical Analysis for June 13, 2025

- Price: ~$104,864 (-2.15%)
- Moving Averages: 50-day SMA at $108,158, EMA – $107,530 (both above the current price, indicating a bearish trend)
- RSI (14): 27.92 – oversold zone, a bounce is possible
- MACD: -967.47, bearish momentum is increasing
- Fibonacci: Key levels:
- 23.6% – $104,789
- 38.2% – $105,678
- 50% – $106,411
- 61.8% – $107,144
- Bollinger: Price at the lower boundary, a bounce is possible
- ATR: High volatility
- VWAP: $105,432, above the current price, bearish sentiment
- Elliott: Third wave of bearish momentum, possible further decline

Conclusion: $BTC remains under pressure, but the oversold zone and Fibonacci levels may lead to a short-term bounce.

The conflict between Israel and Iran has sharply escalated: Israel is striking Iranian military facilities, while Iran is responding with missile attacks. World powers are trying to prevent further escalation, but tensions are rising.

Geopolitical instability traditionally leads to a flight of capital to safe assets. Bitcoin may benefit from this as digital gold, but increased sanctions and possible restrictions on cryptocurrency transactions in the region could create pressure on the market. In the short term, increased volatility is expected, while long-term consequences depend on the further development of the conflict and the response of financial institutions.

#IsraelIranConflict