The probability of interest rate cuts tonight has shown differentiation: a 25 basis point cut is a high probability event, while a 50 basis point cut has a lower probability. From a rational perspective, a 25 basis point cut is the better choice—50 basis points would be too aggressive, likely triggering market concerns about an economic recession, which would be counterproductive.

The real key lies in Powell's subsequent speech: if hawkish signals are released, the market may continue to decline; if the tone is neutral, it is expected to drive a rebound; if it leans dovish, it could trigger a significant increase. $BTC #美联储降息预期升温