2026/2/25 Pre-market (BTC/ETH)
Today, let's set the tone: this is not a favorable market.
DXY is relatively strong, and the 10Y is still above 4%; in this environment, I don't want to be aggressive right away.
So today, it's the same as usual: prioritize right-side confirmation, no premature moves.
Especially in a pullback market, it can look very strong, and chasing it will likely lead to losses on the retracement.
Today, I'm only watching two switches:
1.$BTC : 66,200–66,700 how this segment performs
1) If this segment can stabilize, it indicates a chance for recovery to upgrade
2) If it shoots up and can't stabilize, then what I want to see more is the “failed pullback” structure
2.$ETH
: Can it hold the retest around 1900
1) If it holds and turns strong again, then consider following
2) If it can't hold, just look at it as a pullback, don't anticipate a reversal
Current market sentiment
1) The market is indeed recovering, but it feels more like mainstream coins are leading
2) The sentiment is still in the fear zone, indicating that pullbacks can be quick, but sustainability may not be good
3) I won't spread my net on altcoins today, just pick the ones with clear structures
Target observation (today)
A: BTC/ETH (main focus)
B: SOL (high volatility, only trade right side, no bottom fishing)
C: BNB (following, will assess based on 1H structure)
Execution reminders (for myself)
1) A pullback does not equal a reversal
2) No action without confirmation
3) Single trade risk remains the same 0.5%–1%
4) Don't pile on too many positions in the same direction for BTC/ETH/SOL
Just focus on these two switches, don’t look at too much.
Today’s work is about “the segment after confirmation,” not about guessing the lowest or highest points.
This is only a personal pre-market record and does not constitute investment advice.
Today, let's set the tone: this is not a favorable market.
DXY is relatively strong, and the 10Y is still above 4%; in this environment, I don't want to be aggressive right away.
So today, it's the same as usual: prioritize right-side confirmation, no premature moves.
Especially in a pullback market, it can look very strong, and chasing it will likely lead to losses on the retracement.
Today, I'm only watching two switches:
1.$BTC : 66,200–66,700 how this segment performs
1) If this segment can stabilize, it indicates a chance for recovery to upgrade
2) If it shoots up and can't stabilize, then what I want to see more is the “failed pullback” structure
2.$ETH
: Can it hold the retest around 1900
1) If it holds and turns strong again, then consider following
2) If it can't hold, just look at it as a pullback, don't anticipate a reversal
Current market sentiment
1) The market is indeed recovering, but it feels more like mainstream coins are leading
2) The sentiment is still in the fear zone, indicating that pullbacks can be quick, but sustainability may not be good
3) I won't spread my net on altcoins today, just pick the ones with clear structures
Target observation (today)
A: BTC/ETH (main focus)
B: SOL (high volatility, only trade right side, no bottom fishing)
C: BNB (following, will assess based on 1H structure)
Execution reminders (for myself)
1) A pullback does not equal a reversal
2) No action without confirmation
3) Single trade risk remains the same 0.5%–1%
4) Don't pile on too many positions in the same direction for BTC/ETH/SOL
Just focus on these two switches, don’t look at too much.
Today’s work is about “the segment after confirmation,” not about guessing the lowest or highest points.
This is only a personal pre-market record and does not constitute investment advice.