Brothers, tonight's data is like a time bomb, stuck at the heart of the crypto world! Once it explodes, it will either be a waterfall of gold or a skyrocketing Bitcoin, with absolutely no middle ground. Are you nervous? My opinion is very clear: there will definitely be a tumultuous wave tonight! But the question is—will this wave push you up to wealth, or pull you down to liquidation?
Market sentiment and news interpretation
From the data:
ADP employment change 104,000 → indicates that the U.S. job market can still hold up, but is not as strong as imagined.
Initial jobless claims decreased from 234,000 to 229,000 → the job market shows slight improvement, and fears of recession are not severe.
July trade deficit expands to 103.6 billion USD → US dollar faces huge pressure, funds may accelerate to find an exit!
Market sentiment is like a pot of boiling water, already bubbling, just waiting for tonight's data release between 20:15-20:30 to uncover. The direction is very clear:
👉 If the US dollar is under pressure, Bitcoin is expected to ignite and surge;
👉 If employment is explosively strong, the cryptocurrency market will be hit hard first.
Operation logic (direction analysis)
The logic is very simple:
US dollar liquidity and interest rate hike expectations are the nemeses of the cryptocurrency market.
Data weakens → Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations cool → Funds flow into cryptocurrency → Bullish.
Data strengthens → US dollar flows back to traditional markets → Cryptocurrency market gets squeezed → Bearish.
Old Zhu suggests:
Short-term players: Don't go all in tonight, wait for the first big volatility after the data is released, and then follow the trend.
Steady players: Build positions in batches, protect stop losses, and don't get washed away by a spike.
Survival skills: Tonight's market may very likely show a 'false breakout' with high volume, pay attention to trading volume, and don't chase if there's no volume!
Old Zhu's viewpoint:
Old Zhu's attitude is very clear: There will definitely be a big market movement in the cryptocurrency tonight! The key is not to get cut, being wrong in direction is equivalent to giving away money, being right means a wave of wealth. The market is like ocean waves; whether it can surge depends on whether you dare to follow tonight. My advice is: protect support, closely watch pressure, follow market rhythm, and don't let emotions dictate.
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