Many people are looking forward to an interest rate cut in September, and various media outlets are amplifying the arguments for a rate cut, which leads to two possible outcomes.
First scenario: If there is a scheduled interest rate cut in September, will there definitely be a surge? Brother 480,000 predicts that it will not happen. When the news of the interest rate cut comes out, there may be a brief rise, but afterwards it will continue to decline. When everyone is optimistic and waiting for a bull market, then a bull market will definitely not come. So when will the bull market arrive?
Brother 480,000 predicts that after the interest rate cut, there will be repeated torment for about 2 to 3 months, since some people currently still have expectations for the counterfeit season after the interest rate cut. Therefore, the dogs will have to break through everyone’s psychological defenses, making them completely despair and leave the market before welcoming the counterfeit season. If the interest rate cut occurs as expected, the counterfeit season is predicted to arrive around mid-November.
Second scenario: If there is no interest rate cut in September, will there be a crash? Brother 480,000 predicts that it will not drop too sharply; there will be a decline first, then it will rebound, continue to consolidate, and keep fluctuating until the interest rate cut, then repeat the first scenario of the interest rate cut prediction.
So we must be patient; the counterfeit season will definitely come. A market cannot have only a few coins rising. Since the existence of finance, including stocks, futures, and other known financial markets, have there ever been bull markets with only one or two assets rising? Currently, all the operations by the dogs are aimed at making you despair and leave the market. This bear market has not had a significant crash like in March 20, which scared everyone away. Since there hasn't been a black swan event, the dogs will use a different method to force you out, which is the current market trend.