🚨 REMINDER: Fed Rate Cut Odds Surge
🇺🇸 The Fed could slash rates by 50 bps in September if this week’s jobs data disappoints.
📊 Markets are now pricing ~90% probability of a September cut.
🔑 Why This Matters
✅ Liquidity floodgates could reopen → fresh capital into markets
✅ Risk assets (stocks, Bitcoin, crypto, tech) likely get a strong tailwind
✅ Dollar strength faces pressure → weaker DXY often boosts gold & BTC
🔮 What Could Happen Next
🔺Weak Jobs Data → Higher chance of 50 bps cut → markets rally hard, risk assets fly.
🔺In-line Jobs Data → Fed likely sticks to 25 bps cut → markets may still rally but with less intensity.
🔺Strong Jobs Data → Rate cut expectations cool → near-term pullback possible in crypto & equities.
🎀MY POV:
This week is make or break. With September already seen as a tough month seasonally, a weaker-than-expected jobs report could flip the script and ignite the next leg of the bull cycle.
Stay cautious with leverage, but recognize the macro trigger is lined up.
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