In trading, many people are obsessed with improving their win rate, but the real core that determines long-term profitability is actually the risk-reward ratio.

Assuming a fixed risk of 50, different risk-reward ratios yield completely different results:

1:2 → Profit 100

1:3 → Profit 150

1:5 → Profit 250

This means that even if the win rate is average, as long as the risk-reward ratio is high enough, positive returns can still be achieved in the long run. Conversely, if the risk-reward ratio is too low, even with a high win rate, one may fall into a vicious cycle of 'making small profits and large losses.'

Therefore, the key to every trade is not to predict correctly, but to ensure that stop-losses are clear and take-profit targets are sufficient. You don’t need to be right every time, but you need to make enough when you are right.

In other words, trading is not about who can predict better; it doesn’t matter how many wrong trades you make, what really determines whether you can achieve long-term profitability is whether the mathematical expectation is on your side. #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊 $BTC $ETH $SOL