Having been deeply involved in the cryptocurrency space for nearly 10 years, experiencing ICOs, mining, the hype of meme coins, and multiple bull and bear markets, I found that: buying in a bear market and selling in a bull market is the core method for guaranteed profits — it is simple and easy to understand, yet very few can persist in it.
The cycle of bull and bear markets is clear: a bull market is a 'fast bull', lasting 6 months to 1 year; a bear market is a 'slow bear', with an adjustment period of 1-2 years, and a complete cycle lasts 3-4 years. By timing correctly, earning over 50% in each bull market is enough to outperform most financial products, stocks, and funds, and this kind of profit is certain.
1. Only position in bear markets: exchange patience for opportunity
The key to positioning in a bear market is 'extreme patience'. The bottom is not a specific point, but a phase of 'no one talking about Bitcoin, the crypto space is silent'; there is no need to pursue 'buying at the lowest', using 'gradual accumulation' is sufficient, the process may last over 1 year.
2. Only buy mainstream coins: reject fantasies of getting rich, secure definite profits
BTC and ETH: the 'anchors' of the crypto space, buying in a bear market and selling in a bull market ensures over 50% price increase, suitable for large capital allocation;
High-quality mainstream coins: such as platform coin BNB, base chains SOL/AVAX, and infrastructure coin MATIC, which have real applications and a solid safety net;
Beware of strongly consensus coins: Dogecoin and SHIB have no real value, relying on consensus speculation, extremely high risk.
3. Sell in the mid-bull market: take profits, do not be greedy
The biggest trap in a bull market is 'greed'; one needs to gradually reduce positions in the mid-term, stopping immediately after selling.
Characteristics of the bull market phase:
Initial phase: BTC leads the rise, driving ETH and a few mainstream coins, altcoins are silent;
Mid-phase: BTC/ETH fluctuate upwards, mainstream coins gain strength, altcoins initiate (this phase is best for selling);
Late phase: BTC fluctuates downwards, ETH soars, altcoins surge wildly;
Final phase: BTC rebounds after several rounds of sharp declines (easily misjudged as an adjustment), one must stop loss in time to avoid deep losses on the principal.
4. Do not gamble on luck in a bull market: small plays are acceptable, but heavy investments are absolutely not
In the mid to late bull market, it's easy to be tempted by the surge of altcoins, but 'luck-based profits are not sustainable'. Such coins are often tools for 'cutting leeks', easily halving or going to zero in a bear market.
If you can't resist, use at most 10% of your funds for 'entertainment', but absolutely do not go all-in — a single loss could wipe out previous gains, and the probability of becoming wealthy through altcoins is akin to winning the lottery.
@Air 安叔 Exploring the road to guaranteed profits together ~
