1. Summary
$TREE surged strongly thanks to the launch of tAssets / DOR and the HODLer airdrop campaign on major exchanges; small probes may be suitable but need to pay attention to unlock schedule.
2. Snapshot & catalyst
• Recent prices fluctuate strongly around a few percent to several tens of % depending on the exchange; liquidity increases after listing/airdrop.
• Main catalyst: launch of 'Decentralized Offered Rates (DOR)' + tAssets (fixed-income primitives) and Binance HODLer Airdrop program.
3. Market Overview
Capital flows are paying attention to the narrative 'DeFi fixed-income' — Treehouse attracts TVL and institutional interest, but the market remains sensitive to listing/news.
4. Technical Analysis (short-term)
Short-term bias: bullish on retest with volume; important support lies around previous listing price levels, resistance at psychological/old ATH levels — confirming breakout with volume is mandatory.
5. Fundamental Analysis
Core: tAssets + DOR aimed at creating benchmark rates on-chain; the project has significant funding and partners, but the tokenomics (unlock round ~ significant ratio) is a dilution risk that needs monitoring.
6. Strategy
• Entry: small probe on retest of the $0.27–$0.33 range (depending on venue) with volume confirmation; if you trade on a specific exchange's spot, prioritize a clean order book.
• Stop-loss: cut if it breaches the identified support area (depending on venue), for example, close below $0.20–$0.22 depending on tolerance.
• TP1: scale out at the nearby resistance area / sentiment; TP2: take profit when momentum weakens or there are signs of large unlock.
• Early exit triggers: announcement of large unlock, evidence of exchange allocation selling, or collapse in volume.
• Positioning: keep the size small — trade like an event/meme + product play; adhere to SL.
