1. Summary
$TREE has rallied following the rollout of tAssets / DOR and a major exchange HODLer airdrop; short-term upside exists but token unlock schedules create material downside risk.
2. Price snapshot & catalyst (brief)
• Price: large intraday moves across venues after listing and airdrop activity; liquidity spiked on major exchanges.
• Catalysts: launch of Decentralized Offered Rates (DOR) + tAssets (fixed-income primitives) and Binance HODLer Airdrop/listing support.
3. Market Overview
Capital is rotating into DeFi fixed-income narratives; Treehouse’s DOR/tAsset primitives attract TVL and institutional attention, but price is sensitive to listing flows and supply events.
4. Technical Analysis
Short-term bias: bullish on validated retest with volume confirmation. Key levels — support near pre-listing bands; resistance at psychological/ATH levels. Always confirm breakouts with volume and clean orderbook.
5. Fundamental / Tokenomics Risk
Treehouse positions itself as a DeFi fixed-income layer; while funding and partnerships are positive, vesting/unlock schedules (significant allocated supply) are the primary structural risk to monitor.
6. Strategy
• Entry: small probe on a validated retest (venue-specific; example zone $0.27–$0.33) or wait for a stable hold above breakout with sustained volume.
• Stop-loss: decisive cut on a confirmed close below your chosen support (example $0.20–$0.22).
• Take profits: scale out into identified resistance/psych levels or when volume fades / unlocks are announced.
• Exit triggers: major unlock events, concentrated exchange allocations being sold, or sharp liquidity withdrawal.
• Positioning: conservative probe sizes; treat as event-driven + product narrative trade and enforce strict risk control.
