Recently, many fans have been asking me in the community: 'Old Ma, DOGE has been sideways every day with no movement, it looks like SHIB is about to rise, can I clear DOGE and switch to SHIB?' Today I’ll clarify this — before switching positions, first understand the 'foundation' of these two coins, don’t swap your 'stable assets' for 'harvesting knives', or you’ll end up getting harvested without knowing what happened!
Let's talk about SHIB first: from its inception, it's been a 'harvesting tool', don't expect to break even in this bull market.
Many people only know SHIB as a 'copycat of DOGE', but they don't realize its origin carries 'harvesting genes':
Born at the peak of the 2021 bull market, DOGE had already risen hundreds of times, and a bunch of retail investors were kicking themselves for 'missing DOGE', unable to afford BTC or ETH, just in time for SHIB to come out under the name 'little DOGE', directly hitting the retail investors' desire to 'bottom-fish small coins for big returns'.
But what actual value does this coin have? To be frank, it has 'no value' — no real-world applications, no reliable ecosystem, the only purpose is to be traded back and forth on exchanges, where the exchanges profit from transaction fees and the big players profit from the price differences, and the retail investors? Those who chased highs in 2021 are still stuck above 0.00003; can the big players pull it up this bull market? Not at all!
Why? The cost of breaking even is too high! Back then, the trapped positions were dense; if the big players want to push it to the break-even price, how much real money would they need to spend? It’s better to change the strategy — now occasionally pulling up 5%-10% to lure in those 'wanting to pick up bargains' new retail investors, trapping them halfway up, is much more cost-effective than trying to help the old investors break even.
A few days ago, a fan asked me, 'SHIB rose 8%, should I chase it?' I told him to look at the volume — no increase in volume when it rises, but an increase when it falls, what is that if not a trap? Those who chased it the next day dropped 6%, and they are still stuck.
Looking at DOGE again: sideways movement is not 'no opportunity', but a safety net for 'clumsy methods'.
DOGE's recent sideways movement is indeed frustrating, moving from 0.08 to 0.078, many people feel that 'no movement means no hope', but you need to understand where its advantages lie:
A solid foundation: born years earlier than SHIB, although lacking technology, the 'consensus' is there — a single shout from Musk can move the market, which SHIB cannot match; after all, Musk wouldn't stand up for a 'harvesting market'.
Low price is easy to manipulate, but there’s no 'deep trapped market': DOGE's unit price is only a few cents, the entry barrier for retail investors is low, but unlike SHIB, there isn't a massive trapped market from 2021, so the big players can push it up without having to bear 'break-even pressure'; as long as there's news stimulation (like Musk mentioning it again), they can easily pull it up 10%-20%;
No 'big player controlling the market' trap: Early on, SHIB had giant whales holding large amounts of tokens, they could pump or dump at will; but DOGE's market is scattered, no single giant whale can absolutely control it, making it less susceptible to 'precise harvesting', at most it just moves sideways with the market, and won't suddenly crash like SHIB.
Just like last month, DOGE was sideways for 12 days, many people switched to other altcoins, but then DOGE shot up 15% with Musk's statement 'SpaceX will use DOGE for payments'. Those who switched must be regretting it — sideways movement is not scary; what's scary is switching from 'waitable assets' to 'inevitably harvested markets'.
Practical operational advice for fans: don't switch around randomly! This is how to play with these two coins.
For those holding DOGE: don't panic just because it's sideways! During sideways movement, focus on two signals — either wait for Musk's news to stimulate (this is DOGE's 'exclusive catalyst'), or wait for volume to amplify and break 0.082; if it breaks, then buy, if not, just hold on. It's better than switching to SHIB and stepping into a pit.
For those wanting to switch to SHIB: listen to my advice, unless you're ready to invest 100 bucks 'for fun', otherwise don't go heavy! This coin is currently just 'occasionally bouncing to lure in investors', and when it really rises, it's just a fleeting moment; if you enter, you won't be able to outrun the big players.
If you're really conflicted: it's better to split your positions — keep 70% in DOGE, and use the remaining 30% to look at mainstream coins (like ETH, BTC), don’t focus on SHIB, an 'imitative harvesting coin'; mainstream coins might still have a rebound opportunity even if they drop, while SHIB might never rise again after a drop.
To be honest: in this bull market, the big players are smarter than in 2021, specifically targeting 'small coins that retail investors think can double', and SHIB is a typical example. Although DOGE is slow, at least it won't make you 'lose half overnight'.
Do you have friends around you who got stuck chasing SHIB in 2021? Share in the comments what their situation is now! If you're still confused about the market, follow me for daily analysis and signals to help you avoid harvest traps like SHIB and catch opportunities like DOGE with 'clumsy methods'! #DOGE sideways response #SHIB harvest warning
