$ETH

Operational Thoughts (For Reference Only)

• Long Position Thoughts: Look for buying opportunities in the $4,520-$4,500 range, target $4,630-$4,680.

• Short Position Thoughts: If it rebounds to $4,630-$4,680 and faces resistance, consider a short position, target $4,530.

• Stop Loss: Long position < $4,480, Short position > $4,700.

🔎 Key Points

• Latest Price: $4,570.65 (+5.77%)

• Range Fluctuation: 24h high $4,632.92, low $4,310.00 → Fluctuation range of around $320, indicating intense capital competition.

• Trading Volume: 24h trading volume 6.5109 million ETH, trading amount 29.223 billion USDT → Volume increase, signs of capital inflow.

• Moving Averages:

• EMA(7): 4,581.82 (Short-term)

• EMA(25): 4,576.59 (Medium-term)

• EMA(99): 4,529.16 (Long-term)

👉 Price is primarily running near EMA(25), short to medium-term is tight, but overall above the long-term moving average, trend is bullish.

⸻

📊 Technical Indicators

• RSI

• RSI(6): 34.97 → Short-term is somewhat close to the oversold zone

• RSI(12): 46.79

• RSI(24): 53.02

👉 Short-term pullback is too fast, but overall RSI remains in a neutral to strong area.

• MACD

• DIF: 8.94

• DEA: 15.16

• MACD: -6.22

👉 Currently, MACD is above the zero line but the green histogram is enlarging, indicating weakened short-term momentum and a need for a pullback.

⸻

📈 Trend Summary

1. Short-term (1h/4h): Price faced resistance near $4,630, RSI is declining, MACD momentum is weakening → Short-term may experience fluctuations and fall back to test support at $4,530-$4,500.

2. Medium-term (Daily): Price still stands above EMA(99), strong capital support, if it does not fall below $4,480-$4,500, the bulls remain dominant.

3. Key Levels:

• Resistance: $4,630 → $4,680 (Once broken, can look at $4,750)

• Support: $4,530 → $4,480 (If broken, may retest $4,310)

Bearish in the short term, bullish in the medium term.