The market under the pull of policies is like walking on a tightrope, with the sweetness of interest rate cuts on one side and the poison of tariffs on the other—whoever can find the right balance will seize the next wave of opportunity.

The U.S. is quite conflicted now: rising food prices are causing the public to complain incessantly, while the government wants to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates, but adding tariffs might actually worsen inflation. It's like the Federal Reserve wants to 'step on the gas' for the economy, but Trump's tariff policy is secretly 'stepping on the brakes', leaving the market possibly spinning in place.

Historical data suggests that interest rate cuts usually help the stock market rally, but this time it's different—if prices can't be controlled, the Federal Reserve may hesitate to cut rates boldly, and the duration of the funding frenzy might be discounted.

The crypto market, on the other hand, has already started celebrating! ETH surged to new highs taking advantage of optimistic sentiment, but be cautious: $4600-$4650 is the short-term support baseline, and falling below it could lead to a correction; $4850-$5000 is the resistance zone, and failing to break through could trigger a sell-off.

The market now resembles a pot of undercooked rice—insufficient heat leaves it half-done, while too much heat burns it. If you want to catch a whiff of the next direction in advance, pay attention to Shence, which will help you decode the real signals behind the non-farm payroll data.

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