hello
we think that in these recent movements there have been significant portfolio rotations in the lens of crypto selling towards a net purchase of a clean currency, a repetitive phenomenon, aimed at creating a safe-haven sentiment on this coin
the problem is that this pumps in the short term and presents a systemic remainder in the longer term, we are closely following the DEX
the only safe-haven crypto remains BTC, but it is at stratospheric levels. there are profit-taking
BlackRock, which not only manages the incoming and outgoing flows of its ETFs, is ultimately an indicator.
a very significant drop in BTC would drag all cryptos down with it and also ultra-long whales in credit, not just excess cash.
systemic risks everywhere
the bubble has become far too big
September is historically bearish and there are important US stats at the beginning of the month
a very unstable geopolitical universe.
we do not think that Mr. Trump will receive a Nobel Peace Prize! wars, as expected, do not resolve themselves in 24 hours in a fair and stable way, no matter how authoritative one can be.
the same goes for customs duties that disrupt growth and inflation.
FED and other central banks have taken this into account, remaining rather cautious even if cuts to satisfy the markets and at the order of a president, despite the independence guaranteed by the US Constitution, are to come, it is not reassuring all that is happening.
China, with its economic and military power, could decide what it wants with its massive holdings of Western countries' debts.
its economy is slowing.
we see a strong sum of risks, but it is the risk/reward that prevails over any investment
not to close our eyes, wait, and pray like some
hedge rotations are paramount in our decisions right now around a strategic positioning. as was the case during previous significant declines waiting for the boom
very few realize that the market has changed.