August 23 Geopolitical Event Overview

1️⃣ Trump may initiate a Russia-Ukraine negotiation, allowing both sides to talk amongst themselves.

2️⃣ Reports from Syria and Israel indicate that a U.S.-backed 'Security Agreement' will be signed on September 25.

3️⃣ Putin has reiterated the conditions for peace between Russia and Ukraine: no NATO membership, ceding of Donbas and other territories, and no foreign troops allowed to be stationed.

4️⃣ Ukraine states that it will not give up any territory for the time being.

5️⃣ Hamas has called on the people of Gaza, preparing for 'mutual destruction,' to which the Israeli Defense Minister responded: 'The gates of hell are already open.'

6️⃣ Putin and Modi will attend the 2025 SCO Summit, which will be held in Tianjin from August 31 to September 1.

7️⃣ The EU plans to provide 4.05 billion euros in aid to Ukraine.

8️⃣ Ukraine warns Belarus not to stage provocations near its borders, while Poland states that drone attacks will be met with a response.

9️⃣ Lavrov stated that Putin will not meet with Zelensky, and negotiations have completely broken down.

My View:

Russia-India Cooperation: Under U.S. pressure, trade between Russia and India may become closer, but whether India is a reliable ally remains a question mark.

Russia-Ukraine Peace: Zelensky directly rejected Trump's proposed negotiations, and within a few days, the situation has polarized again. The direction of Russia and Ukraine remains shrouded in fog, requiring more information for confirmation.

Gaza Situation: It has reached a critical point, with Hamas pledging to resist to the death, coupled with the advance of Israeli ground forces, the situation may exacerbate civilian tragedies.