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鲍威尔一开口,比特币秒破11.6万,市场嗨翻天背后逻辑是什么?
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8月22日Crypto Daily加密日报
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FOMO还没来,alt season搜索兴趣跌50%,Altcoin Season Index卡在60以下,BTC.D卡60%阻力。 Altcoin周期没火起来,TOTAL2从1T到1.7T但同步BTC涨,没真rotation。联系BTC从124k跌8%,资金在等Powell信号。未来FOMO一燃,alt能爆,但现在风险流还tentative。 话说回来,上次选举周期指数超85,这次弱多了。投资者别急追,盯BTC支持112k,准备低吸alt。
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加密市场短暂跌入恐惧区,FGI到45后回50,中性水平,Powell Jackson Hole讲话前大家紧张。 FOMC纪要一出,市场就抖,但Tom Lee说BTC和ETH已见底,周五股市也跟上。联系非农数据疲软,9月降息概率75%,这不就是痛后反弹的信号吗?未来贪婪指数冲高,市场可能大pump。 不过话说,liquidations超10亿刀,痛点多,但Options skew偏call,短期看涨。投资者抓紧底捞,ETH和BTC别错过。
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Solana需求弱,价格目标188和206刀可能受影响,OBV没涨,RSI中性,但180刀支撑翻转。 SOL这走势纠结,鲸鱼囤了40万枚但需求平平,感觉是BTC回调拖后腿。联系ETH鲸鱼换仓,SOL多头仓位也得警惕,短期可能跌破180刀。未来如果BTC稳住,SOL能冲206,但得看交易量爆不爆。 话说回来,弱需求不等于完蛋,Aave上线Aptos这种多链战略能分流,但Solana吞吐优势还在。哥们儿,建议等OBV上行再进场,别急。
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