📊 $TAO – Pullback from Demand, check Equilibrium 350–360
🗓️ Friday, 22/08/2025
📰 Powell signaled that a rate cut “may be needed” → macro risks cooling down, supporting altcoin.
💰 Current price: ~355.8 — close to EMA20, below EMA50/99 → medium-term trend remains weak, short-term recovery.
📈 RSI ~47 neutral; MACD < 0 but positive histogram → momentum improving.
📊 Futures: Open Interest ~50.7M USDT (increasing); L/S ratio (accounts) ~1.12 & Top Trader (positions) ~2.08; Funding +0.005% → leaning Long but not too hot yet.
⚡ Basis turned positive & expanded; sentiment improving.
🔎 SMC: Recently CHoCH increased from the HL zone; price bounced from Demand 315–330 (Discount) to Equilibrium ~350–360. Above there is strong Supply at 445–500 (Premium, Weak High), clusters of EQH holding liquidity; below there is EQL 315–325. FVG/Imbalance remains open 360–375 and 330–340 is likely to be “filled”.
🎯 Preferred trend: LONG 💹 (Buy) – Probability 58%
📍 Entry (Buy zone): 345 – 350
🎯 TP1 (Take Profit 1): 370 ~ +5.7% compared to Entry
🎯 TP2 (Take Profit 2): 410 ~ +17.1% compared to Entry
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💡 Did you know?
FVG/Imbalance is a range of candles that move quickly causing orders to be mismatched; prices often return to “fill the gap”. Combining FVG with Supply/Demand areas and Equilibrium helps select entries with a higher probability.