Tonight, Old Bao speaks, and the market's rise and fall all depend on him:

1. The timing of interest rate cuts is crucial!

If he dares to say "definitely cut rates in September," the market will surely take off! Right now, short sellers are betting against a rate cut, but once the probability of a 25 basis point cut is confirmed at over 90%, the shorts will be forced to buy coins to close their positions, directly igniting the market. The price could soar to 125,000! But if he emphasizes "first deal with inflation," the market might drop!

2. Regulatory news is a major positive!

Previously, he mentioned that stablecoins need legislation. If tonight he releases something concrete — such as clarifying how ETFs will be approved, that would definitely be a signal for a major rise! Just like when the Ethereum ETF started in June, Ethereum's exchange rate against Bitcoin rose by 28% in two weeks. When policies loosen, money flows in!

3. Right now, everyone is panicking!

Looking at the options data, the put-to-call ratio has skyrocketed to 1.33, with major bets on the 110,000 put options! This indicates that everyone thinks the market will drop, but the more this happens, the easier it is for explosive rises and falls to occur. Set stop-losses and take-profits in advance, and don't trade recklessly based on emotions — Old Bao's words can make the market as fragile as a cookie; even the slightest movement can trigger an explosion! #加密市场回调 $BTC