#DOGE Reform Hides 'Landmines': Black Swans Occur Frequently, Investment Requires Caution and More Caution!
Regarding the recent reform of Dogecoin, the core is attempting to seek a balance between growth and scarcity, but the contradiction between technological upgrades and profit distribution has become a key obstacle.
The code modification plan proposed by Elon Musk's team includes reducing the number of new tokens and introducing a destruction mechanism, which theoretically could push DOGE towards a deflationary currency transformation; however, implementation faces multiple challenges.
The miner community may resist the system upgrade due to a significant decrease in income expectations; the chain itself has functional limitations, and the security vulnerabilities of the cross-chain bridge it relies on occur frequently; there are also internal disagreements within the community due to retail investors selling off.
The success or failure of the reform depends on the approval results of the October grayscale ETF and the support rate of mining pool computing power. If successful, $DOGE is expected to break through to $0.69, becoming the first deflationary Meme coin with a market value exceeding 100 billion; failure may lead to a drop to $0.16, falling below the miner cost line.
Short-term traders need to closely monitor the above signals, cautiously laying out near $0.24, but must use tools like options to hedge risks, while also being alert to black swan events such as SEC regulatory determinations and Qubic computing power alliance attacks.
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