In November 2016, when my account balance was stuck at 987 USDT, I stared blankly at the MACD indicator on the screen. The day before, I had just lost 3000 USDT because I 'didn't understand the top divergence', and I silently resolved: 'either thoroughly understand these signals, or completely leave the crypto world.' Now my account is stable at over 10 million USDT, having multiplied 200 times, not by guessing rises and falls, but by turning 'divergence, golden cross, stop-loss' into reflexes—just like pressing the brakes when seeing a red light while driving, simple enough to not require thinking.
1. Top divergence: Escaped the top at 4 million in 2021. This signal is more sensitive than an alarm. What is top divergence? The price rushes to new highs like a mad dog (for example, #BTC surged from 60,000 to 69,000), but the MACD red bars get shorter like a punctured balloon, and the yellow and white lines are 'stuck' at the high. At this time, absolutely do not believe the group shouting 'breaking 100,000', the main force is secretly unloading. In that bull market in 2021, I made a fatal error:
On June 10, #BTC created a new high of 69,000 USD, with an account floating profit of 4 million USDT; the MACD red bar shrank from 50 to 20, and the yellow line was lower than the previous high.
While the group was sharing profit screenshots, I recalled the crash during the top divergence in 2018 (from 1400 USD to 800 USD). At 2 AM, I gritted my teeth and cleared 70% of my position. The next day, #BTC plummeted 58%, and the remaining 30% was also cleared during the second top divergence, ultimately preserving 3.2 million USDT. Later, during the review of #DOGE's trend, I found the same signal: when it reached a new high of 0.35 USD, the red bar was 40% shorter than the previous high; it dropped to 0.1 USD within 3 days, burying all the bottom buyers.
Steps for escaping top divergence (write it down):
Open the 4-hour candlestick chart, mark the new high points of the price and the highs of the MACD red bars; if the price is new high but the red bar shortens > mark 'first divergence', when a second divergence appears (price reaches new high again, red bar shorter) sell 50%;
The yellow line dead cross (crossing below the white line) liquidates the remaining 50%.
Student Akai used this trick to avoid the crash of 2SOL in February 2024. He said: 'I used to think that selling would leave me missing out, but now when I see the red bars shortening, my hands shake, and I reflexively want to close my position.
2. Bottom divergence: Buying LUNA at the bottom earned 1.5 million, based on 'the green bars getting shorter'. When LUNA fell to 0.0001 USD in 2023, the community was full of wails of 'going to zero'. But when I opened MACD, I saw: the price created a new low of 0.0001 USD; the green bar length shrank from 60 to -15 (getting shorter and shorter), and the yellow line was flat at the low without following the new low.
This is bottom divergence +. — The market has stopped falling, and the main force is secretly
Picking chips. I build positions in 3 batches: the first bottom divergence > use 5% position (50 USDT) as a trial; the second bottom divergence (price drops further, green bar shorter) increases by 10% position; when the yellow line golden crosses, add another 15% position.
A month later, LUNA rebounded to 0.01 USD, making 1.5 million USDT with this 30% position. But there is a prerequisite: only trade coins with 'two or more divergences', a single divergence might be a trap (for example, a certain mountain coin in 2024 had a single bottom divergence and then fell 80%).
Bottom divergence buying iron rule:
Must wait for 'green bars to continuously shorten for 3 candlesticks'; combined with trading volume (shrinking during drops, increasing during rises) only touch coins in the top 50 by market cap, small market cap coins are prone to false divergence.
3. Don’t rush the golden cross: I learned my lesson after losing 200,000 with PEPE. The second golden cross is the real opportunity. In 2024, during the first golden cross of PEPE, I rushed in and lost 200,000. Later, I found that during the first golden cross, there was 20 million USDT flow in and out of the OKEx hot wallet (main force testing the waters), trading volume did not increase, and the red bar just emerged and then shortened; the 30-minute line and the 4-hour line were not synchronized (30-minute golden cross, 4-hour still dead cross). The real opportunity appears during the 'second golden cross': after the first golden cross, a pullback occurs but does not break the previous low; 30-minute and 4-hour lines synchronize golden cross; trading volume suddenly expands to 3 times the usual (true funds entering the market). At this time, entering the market leads to a profit of 800,000 USDT in 5 days. It's like starting a car; the first time might stall, but the second time, pressing the accelerator is stable.
Golden cross entry checklist: 30-minute and 4-hour lines synchronized golden cross; trading volume ≥ 3 times the usual; net inflow of funds in hot wallets (not trial trading); red bar length exceeds the previous golden cross.
4. Stop-loss and take-profit: The 'life-saving formula' taught by a net worth 600 million tycoon. From 1000 USDT to 200,000 USDT, the most painful pit I stepped on was 'not stopping losses'. Now, using this formula, stop-loss and take-profit are as mechanical as clocking in:
1. Top divergence + whale outflow immediately cut positions when seeing top divergence, simultaneously seeing on-chain whales net outflow of over 5 million USDT - liquidation.
For example, during the top divergence of ETH in 2024, Vitalik's address transferred out 10,000 coins, clearing his position that day to avoid a 15% drop. 2. Three-period resonance = lock in positions using the 30-minute line to set direction (golden cross for long, dead cross for short), check the strength on the 4-hour line (red bar length ≥ previous high), and lock the trend on the weekly line (do not act if no top divergence appears). Last year, during the main upward wave of SOL, I relied on this trick to capture a 300% increase without being shaken out mid-way.
3. Continuous stop-loss: stop trading for 24 hours after 3 consecutive losses. In 2023, I had 5 consecutive stop-losses, and if I had held on, I would have lost 80%. Later, I set a rule: after 3 consecutive stop-losses, close the software for 24 hours; during the review, draw an 'error map' (for example, print out the fake golden cross of PEPE and stick it on the wall). 5. Position control: from being liquidated 3 times to 200,000 USDT, it relies on 'starting with 5%'—the initial position should never exceed 5%. This is a lesson I learned from liquidation: with a 1000 USDT capital, each position should not exceed 50 USDT; after making 10%, I will add to the position (using profits, not the principal). Stop when the total position reaches 50% (keep 50% to cope with corrections). Student Xiao Wang didn't believe it at first, used a 30% position to open a trade, and lost 2000 USDT in one stop-loss. Later, following the 5% position, he grew from 5000 USDT to 80,000 USDT in 6 months.
Finally, here are 3 action instructions for players with 1000 USDT: open the market software tonight and find 3 cases of top divergence (like DOGE, PEPE), draw them on paper; set an alarm: check 'whale capital flow' before every trade (recommended Nansen tool); set 'stop trading after 3 consecutive stop-losses' as your phone wallpaper. The secret to making money in the crypto world lies in 'turning signals into reflexes'. Now, when I see top divergence, it's like seeing a red light; I don't even think about it before closing my position—this kind of muscle memory is more reliable than any 'master prediction'.#加密市场回调