instead of a rate cut, if rates do not increase anywhere and everything gets liquidated, this is what the market does... they say one thing, something else happens
DeFiRaza
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🚨 Fed Rate Cut Odds Take a Big Hit Ahead of Jackson Hole! 🏛💥
The markets just got a wake-up call! A week ago, everyone was 99% sure the Fed would cut rates in September. Yesterday? Still a comfy 85% chance.
But today? The odds have crashed to just 71.5%! 📉
🔎 Why the sudden shift? • 📊 FOMC minutes show the Fed is worried more about inflation than jobs. • 📈 July PPI data revealed prices are creeping back up → inflation risk is alive. • 👥 Jobless claims hit 235,000, but not enough pain for the Fed to move fast.
⏰ What’s next?
All eyes are on Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole TOMORROW. ⚡ Markets will hang on every word for clues about the September 17 FOMC meeting.
💡 The Big Picture
The Fed is walking a tightrope: Inflation vs. Employment. Don’t expect quick rate cuts. For investors, traders, and businesses → agility is survival.
📌 Key takeaway: The easy-money era isn’t back (yet). Stay sharp, manage risk, and don’t blindly bet on Fed pivots.
