Putin's ceasefire conditions exposed! Will the cryptocurrency market face a huge shock from the 'war market'? 3 major explosive points must be wary!
As geopolitical tensions rise, gold and Bitcoin soar together! Putin's three ceasefire conditions may trigger a new wave of super volatility in the cryptocurrency market!
Confirmed impacts: 3 major links between war and the cryptocurrency market
Safe-haven assets in turmoil
On the day of the Russia-Ukraine war outbreak in 2022, BTC surged by 15%, and gold jumped by 3%
If negotiations break down this time, BTC may repeat the 'war premium', looking bullish in the short term to 68,000
Intensified energy crisis
Russia is a major global energy power, and escalating conflict will drive up oil prices
Historical data: For every 10% increase in oil prices, miner costs rise by 8%, potentially causing volatility in hash rates
Soaring dollar volatility
Worsening conflict could lead to severe fluctuations in the dollar index
When the dollar weakens, BTC typically averages a 9% increase within 72 hours
The big players have already positioned themselves
Identified 3 abnormal signals:
BTC short positions on Bitfinex suddenly dropped by 40%, large funds are betting on a rise
ETH options implied volatility skyrocketed, indicating the market expects significant fluctuations
Before the February 24 Russia-Ukraine conflict, whale addresses suddenly increased their holdings by 30,000 BTC, which then surged by 20%
Retail Survival Guide
Before the news is announced, use high leverage to bet on direction
Blindly chasing after rising and falling prices often leads to false breakouts
Ignoring stop-losses can lead to collapses similar to LUNA in 2022 under similar circumstances
Hold a 5% position in gold concept coins (such as PAXG) as a hedge
Set BTC to take partial profits in the range of 65,000-68,000
Monitor the direction of Russia-Ukraine gas settlement
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