Good morning! Market analysis for August 22
The market maker has chosen this time to shake out those who cannot hold on. Some say interest rates won't be cut, while others say they will start to be cut, leading to market divergence. When new signals appear, big capital begins to strategize according to the situation.
Tonight, the main focus is on Powell's speech at 10 PM. Market fluctuations will be significant, and the market will judge whether interest rates will begin to be cut in September and whether high rates will be maintained based on Powell's speech.
Three scenarios for tonight:
(1) Powell sends a clear signal for a rate cut in September, which would be positive and signal a counterattack, with a probability of 20%.
(2) Powell says it is not yet appropriate to cut rates but hints slightly at a future cut, which would also be positive, with a probability of 50%.
(3) Powell releases no expectations of a rate cut and even reinforces a hawkish stance, which would lead to another drop, with a probability of 30%.
Rationally speaking, now is not the time to exit but rather to accumulate in batches and wait for a reversal in the situation.
Pay attention to: BIO SKL PHA ZEC JUV
