What this model is saying?
🔸A new Monte Carlo simulation model projects potential Bitcoin price trajectories out to 2036.
🔸It factors in liquidity assumptions, supply scarcity, and adoption curves.
🔸The model’s median projection suggests BTC could hit:
$10,000,000 by 2031
$20,000,000 by 2035
🔸This aligns with the upper probability bands (75%–95%) in the simulation.
📊 Key Insights from the Chart
🔺Wide Uncertainty: After 2026, forecast bands expand significantly due to liquidity and supply assumptions.
🔺Median Path Higher than Expected: Reflects downward skew in liquid BTC supply.
🔺Extreme Case: Under thin supply + high adoption, BTC price could exceed $20M by 2035.
🔺Worst-Case Scenarios: Even in low bands (5%–25%), BTC still trends upward long term.
🧠 Why It Matters
🔺The model highlights Bitcoin’s asymmetric upside due to its fixed supply.
🔺Even modest increases in demand + liquidity shocks could create hyperbolic price moves.
🔺Reinforces the narrative of BTC as a long-term scarce asset rather than just a speculative trade.
⚡ Market Sentiment Takeaway
🔸Institutional investors are increasingly looking at liquidity crunch scenarios as key drivers for price.
🔸Scarcity dynamics + adoption = exponential upside.
🔸This kind of research strengthens the $1M+ per BTC thesis many funds already discuss — but now projects much higher potential.
🚀 BTC to $20M?
New research model shows Bitcoin could hit $10M by 2031 and $20M by 2035 under liquidity scarcity scenarios. Supply shock + adoption = exponential upside.
The king of crypto might just be getting started.
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