The Fed Goes Hawkish, Is the Crypto Market Going to Crash? Don't Panic Yet!

When the Fed frowns, BTC trembles! But this meeting's minutes hold a major reversal signal!

What did the Fed say? Inflation is the father, interest rate hikes are the knife!

Inflation Can't Be Held Down: The Fed admits "inflation slowdown has stalled," tariffs have pushed up commodity prices, CPI may continue to explode, solid evidence: the meeting minutes clearly mentioned it.

Conflicting Economic Data: GDP growth is moderate, but imports have plummeted as businesses stock up to avoid tariffs, exports are okay, unemployment rate is low but the labor market is weakening.

In simple terms: The U.S. economy is like a "falsely muscular man"—the surface data looks good, but underlying inflation is surging.

Impact on the Crypto Market: Short-term bearish, long-term bullish?

Rising Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes: If inflation doesn't decrease, the Fed may continue to be hawkish or even raise rates, the dollar strengthens, funds may flow back to traditional markets, putting pressure on the crypto market (ETH falling below 4306 is dangerous).

But there's a reversal signal: The Fed said "current interest rates are close to neutral levels," implying limited room for rate hikes!

Historical Case: In the 2022 rate hike cycle, BTC halved, but after pausing rate hikes in 2023, BTC doubled! Will this happen again?

Don’t be scared by short-term panic! The end of the Fed's rate hikes is often the starting point for a big market movement, and the current plunge is a buying opportunity, but don't rush; wait for ETH to stabilize at 4050 before taking action!

Operational Strategy: Risk aversion first, wait for buying signals!

Short-term: If ETH falls below 4306, short on a failed rebound, target 4050.

Long-term: Wait for the September Fed decision; if they stop rate hikes, close your eyes and buy BTC and ETH!

"The Fed's sickle is already raised, will you choose to dodge it or take the chance to pick up bloody chips? Share your holdings in the comments section of Block Key!" #美联储7月会议纪要