The Federal Reserve is making strong statements, is the crypto world about to change?
When the Federal Reserve coughs, the crypto world catches a cold! This time the minutes directly served the market a cup of iced Americano - awakening but bitter!
What did the Federal Reserve say? Inflation is the number one enemy!
Inflation can't be suppressed: The Federal Reserve admits that 'inflation slowdown has stalled', tariffs are pushing up commodity prices, and the CPI may continue to explode.
Conflicting economic data: GDP is growing moderately, unemployment is low, but imports have plummeted (because businesses hoarded goods in advance to avoid tariffs), while exports are doing okay.
In plain language: The U.S. economy is like a 'falsely muscular man' - surface data looks good, but underlying inflation is turbulent.
Impact on the crypto world: liquidity may be drained!
Rising interest rate expectations: If inflation doesn't go down, the Federal Reserve may continue to be hawkish (even raise interest rates), the dollar will strengthen, funds will flow back to traditional markets, and liquidity in the crypto world will be under pressure.
Historical examples: During the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle in 2022, BTC dropped from $48,000 to $16,000, and ETH plummeted from $3,500 to $880!
Short-term bearish for ETH: The support level at 4306 is precarious; if it breaks, we'll see 4050!
Don't be fooled by 'moderate economic growth'! The Federal Reserve's real headache is inflation, and the crypto world is now like 'dancing on the edge of a knife' - once the expectation of interest rate hikes comes, big funds will immediately flee.
Strategy: Risk aversion first, don't rush to bottom fish!
Short-term: If ETH breaks 4306, short it if it can't bounce back, targeting 4050.
Long-term: Wait for the Federal Reserve's September decision to position; don't catch falling knives now!
The Federal Reserve's bullets are already loaded; are you preparing to dodge the bullets or take it head-on? Share your strategy in the comments! #美联储7月会议纪要
