Solana — dawn

• The network briefly exceeded 100k TPS during a stress test (peak ~100k+).

• The Solana spot ETFs (US) at 21Shares & Bitwise are pushed back to mid-October 2025 (deadlines around 16/10).

• Firedancer (validator client by Jump) remains planned for 2025, for more throughput and resilience of the network.

My opinion (short term)

Bias is rather bullish if interest remains strong and if the technical/regulatory catalysts are confirmed. The peak at 100k TPS is mostly symbolic (stress test), but it reinforces the narrative “L1 scalable”. Main risks: technical delays, unfavorable SEC decision, or congestion during usage peaks.

My forecasts (1–8 weeks)

• Likely range: 170–195 $ as long as 190–195 $ holds.

• Breakout above ~195 $ ⇒ 205–220 $.

• Rejection / bad news ⇒ 155–165 $.

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