The crypto market opens with controlled movements but full of tension. Bitcoin (BTC) remains above $115,000, defending a key support that could define the course of the coming weeks.

Current Market Position

BTC: Fluctuates between $115K and $117K after a week of 5–7% corrections.

ETH: It remains in the $4,200 zone with some bearish pressure.

Altcoins: Several have lost between 8–12% in 7 days, reflecting capital outflow towards BTC and stablecoins.

Fundamental Factors

1. Short-term selling: Short-term holders have begun selling at a loss, something that hasn't happened since January.

2. Ethereum ETF: They already hold about 5% of the supply, showing strong institutional adoption.

3. Brazil and Bitcoin: The country will discuss this week the possible integration of BTC into its national reserves.

4. Market projections: The firm Bernstein predicts that this bull market will extend until 2027, breaking the classic 4-year cycle.

Trading Considerations

Support: $115K remains the level to defend.

Immediate resistance: $118K–$120K.

Scenarios:

Staying above $115K could allow for a rebound towards $120K+.

Breaking it would open the door to falls towards $112K–$110K.

Strategy: Day traders seek defensive buys at supports, while swing traders await confirmation of a breakout before opening large positions.

Market Sentiment

The Fear and Greed Index is moving towards the neutral zone after weeks of extreme greed.

Retail in panic, selling in the red.

Institutions and whales accumulating, interpreting the correction as an opportunity.

Conclusion

Bitcoin is at a decisive point: $115K is the line that separates consolidation from a deeper decline. Corrections, although painful, are often the fuel for the next rallies.

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