Ethereum’s chart is telling a two-part story. On the lower timeframes (15m/30m/1h) the trend has rolled over: price sits below both the 20-EMA and 50-EMA, with the 20-EMA under the 50-EMA and momentum soft (RSI-14 sub-45). The 1-hour stream even shows a bearish engulfing and volume fading on the drop, a combo that usually leads to weak bounces and lower highs until strength returns. In short, the intraday tape favors sellers and rewards patience from late longs.
Shift to the 4-hour and the picture is more balanced. Structure remains constructive (EMA20 > EMA50) and the longer average is sloping up, but RSI in the low-40s says momentum is still digesting the recent run. This is classic “uptrend, pausing through time” behavior: pullbacks and sideways chop that reset momentum without breaking the bigger structure—unless key supports give way.
The daily timeframe still leads the narrative. With price above the 20- and 50-day EMAs, RSI > 55, and the 50-day EMA rising, the higher-timeframe uptrend is intact. That means the smarter trades are either: (1) buying strength on confirmed reclaim levels after the intraday trend flips back up, or (2) buying fear at well-defined supports while the daily uptrend holds, using tight risk.
Levels on the chart map the battleground. Support is stacked first around $4,153–$4,167, a shelf that caught prior reactions. Lose that decisively on closing basis and the 4-hour trend risks spilling deeper. Resistance is layered above at $4,333 → $4,347 → $4,366 → $4,405 → $4,451, with a higher supply band near $4,543. Expect sellers to defend the first touch of these rungs while intraday momentum remains bearish.
Tactical plan: While 15m/30m/1h stay below their EMAs and RSI < 45, rallies into $4,333–$4,405 are candidates for fade/rejection trades with stops just above the failed level and targets back toward the nearest support. For longs, the higher-probability path is to wait for a 1-hour close back above a pivot—first $4,405, then $4,451—on rising volume. That would signal the lower frames are re-aligning with the 4h/daily trend and opens room toward $4,543. If instead price closes the 4-hour below $4,153–$4,167, assume the digestion isn’t done and let it base again before stepping in.
Bottom line: Ethereum remains in a daily uptrend, but intraday pressure is down. Respect the short-term weakness, use the resistance ladder to time entries, and demand either confirmation (reclaims with volume) or discount (tests of clean support) before getting aggressive. As always, keep position sizes modest, place stops where your trade thesis fails, and let the market prove it.
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