📍#solana Technical Analysis (2025/08/16 Evening Analysis)

Tonight I am slightly bearish! SOL has fallen below EMA9/21, 1h and 4h momentum is weakening, and 12h shows DMI bearish dominance. The rebound is mainly bearish, breakouts will continue to short👇

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#SOL 【12 hours】

Trend: Slight bearish. Price is below EMA9 (≈190.5) and above EMA21 (≈185.0); KD dead cross, RSI ≈ 52; DMI shows ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI, bears slightly dominate.

🔻 Short Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: Above 192.7 (R1) or 12h recovers EMA9 ≈ 190.5 and stabilizes

🟢 Add Short: 188~191 range (near EMA9 and previous high) rebounds in batches not triggered

🚨 Breakout to Short: 12h closes below EMA21 ≈ 185.0; continue to break Pivot ≈ 176.7 to add

🎯 Take Profit: 180.0→176.7→167.1→151.6

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#SOL 【4 hours】

Trend: Slight bearish. Closed below EMA9/21 (≈192.4/192.3), RSI < 50, KD dead cross, DMI bearish dominance; still above EMA200 (≈176.5).

🔻 Short Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: Above 192.8 or 4h recovers EMA21 ≈ 192.3

🟢 Add Short: 189~192 range rebounds in batches not triggered

🚨 Breakout to Short: 4h closes below EMA200 ≈ 176.5 or Pivot ≈ 176.1

🎯 Take Profit: 172.0→167.1→161.6→151.6

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#SOL 【1 hour】

Trend: Slight bearish. Price is below EMA9/21 (≈190.1/192.7) but still above EMA200 (≈181.5), RSI < 50, KD dead cross, MACD histogram turns negative.

🔻 Short Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: Above 192.0 or 1h recovers EMA21 ≈ 192.7

🟢 Add Short: 188.5~191.5 range rebounds in batches not triggered

🚨 Breakout to Short: 1h closes below EMA200 ≈ 181.5

🎯 Take Profit: 180.0→176.7→167.1→161.6

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【#SOL Strategy Summary】

Operating Suggestions:

- Overall bearish: 12h slight bearish, 4h and 1h momentum weakening, rebounds focus on short positions

- Short on rallies: 188~192 range layout in batches, strict stop loss at 192.7 above

- Breakout to Short: Key to note the two defense lines at 185 (12h EMA21) and 176.5 (4h EMA200)

- Target Price: First look at 180 and 176.7; then at 167.1 and 161.6; move stop loss upon target price

- If 1h returns above 192.7 and stabilizes, reduce short positions; reassess bullish if 12h recovers EMA9