NOT unexpectedly reveals the 'golden pit'! Accumulate in the 0.0018-0.0021 range, one order can recover the seven-day decline!
NOT is being dragged down by a 'value vacuum', the price has fallen below the lower edge of the 70% trading zone, but a huge LVN gap is left at 0.0018-0.0021. The bulls only need one volume surge to quickly fill it back, while the bears will face the counterattack of a 1.85 times buy wall—this is not a time for panic, but a moment for precise positioning.
Key interval structure and trading volume distribution
1. Value anchoring zone: The POC is at 0.002079, with 990 million chips accumulated above, serving as a watershed for medium-term bulls and bears.
2. High trading volume zone:
• HVN-1: 0.001998-0.002005, buffer zone, first target for short-term rebound.
• HVN-2: 0.002153-0.002160, heavy pressure zone, if broken with volume will open the 0.00248 space.
3. Low trading volume gap:
• LVN-1: 0.001836-0.001851, no resistance void, a pullback here is the best entry point for bulls.
• LVN-2: 0.00227-0.00236, thin area above, high probability of acceleration after a breakout.
4. 70% trading volume coverage zone: 0.001969-0.002183, current price of 0.001931 has deviated from the lower edge by 1.9%, on the verge of short-term overselling.
Momentum verification
• Up/Down above POC = 44/56, still under bear control; however, Up volume in LVN-1 accounts for 77%, buying appears on pullbacks.
• Trading volume in the last 4 hours has dropped to 0.6 times the 20-day average, waiting for volume confirmation.
Auxiliary judgment
• Bollinger Bands 1h lower track at 0.001878, MA200 deviated by -10.8%, too much divergence; contract holdings decreased by 1.68% in 24h, funding rates slightly positive, bear covering window is approaching.
• The buy wall is 1.85 times that of the sell wall, with over 20 million USDT lurking in the 0.001895-0.001927 range.
Market cycle
Late bear market phase searching for a bottom, a short-term oversold rebound is imminent.
Trading strategy
Aggressive: At the current price of 0.001931, directly buy 1/3 of the position, and add another 1/3 on a pullback to LVN-1 (0.001845).
Conservative: Wait for a 15m close back above 0.001965 with volume > 1.5 times the average before chasing longs.
Stop loss: Set uniformly at 0.001825 (lower edge of LVN-1 -1 ATR).
Target: 0.002005 (HVN-1) reduce position by 50%, keep the remaining half position looking at 0.002153 (HVN-2).
Risk-reward ratio: ((0.002153-0.001931)/0.000106)≈2.1:1, meets ≥1.5.
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.0018 or 4h shows volume drop below LVN-1, stop loss immediately.
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