“LAYER falls below 0.62, is it panic selling or a golden opportunity? Seize the POC value anchor, 3x risk-reward ratio for short-term bottom hunting!”

【Quick Overview】

When the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, with net outflows from positions for 7 consecutive days accompanied by a 3-fold increase in buy orders on the order book, LAYER is performing a “low-volume fake drop”—the main force is quietly accumulating in the 0.59–0.65 range, just waiting for a strong bullish candle to confirm.

【Key Ranges and Volume Distribution】

1. Value Anchor: POC = 0.6478 (the largest transaction pile in two weeks), heavy selling pressure at the upper edge, but buying support on pullbacks.

2. High Volume Buffer: 0.5999–0.6043, 0.6304–0.6347 two major HVNs, prices are likely to linger and bounce back here.

3. Low Volume Gaps: below 0.5739–0.5804, above 0.6782–0.6826 two LVNs, speed is extremely fast during breakouts/pullbacks.

4. 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 0.5956–0.6673, the current price of 0.6187 is in the lower half of the range, with RSI 65.4 not overbought, belonging to the “lower edge of the range + momentum turning bullish” combination.

5. Momentum Verification: Up Vol at POC area 34.8%, Down Vol 65.2% → sellers still dominate; however, Up Vol at 0.6043 HVN has risen to 39.6%, indicating enhanced support below.

【Market Cycle】

Medium-term: Declining wedge since the high point of 0.93 in May, currently in the “end of bear market oscillation bottoming” phase.

Short-term: 24-hour contract positions -2.65%, funding rate +0.005%, short covering brewing a rebound.

【Trading Strategy】

1. Entry

• Aggressive: 0.617–0.620 (current price ±0.002) pullback to the lower Bollinger Band + buy wall.

• Conservative: Pinbar appears inside 0.6043 HVN with Up Vol > 45%.

2. Stop Loss: 0.5940 (below HVN 0.5956 outer side) ≈ entry -3.9%.

3. Targets: First target 0.6478 POC, second target 0.6782 LVN; for conservatives, halve the position at 0.6304 HVN.

4. Risk-Reward Ratio: Enter at 0.618, target 0.6478, stop loss 0.5940 → R:R ≈ 1:3.1.

【Risk Warning】

If it breaks down with volume below 0.594 or if Up Vol > 55% during a pullback to POC, the strategy is invalid, stop loss immediately; pay attention to macro negative factors leading to net outflows from contracts > 1M USDT.

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Thanks: “Silicon-based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!

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$LAYER @Solayer #BuiltonSolayer