📍#BTC Technical Analysis (Morning Analysis on 2025/08/15)
Today is mainly bearish! Both 1H and 4H show right-side bearish momentum, and the daily line remains below EMA200, with rebounds seen as a replenishment of short positions. If you want to keep up with the rhythm, please refer to the precise short-selling and stop-loss planning below.
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#BTC Daily Line
Trend: Consolidation, Long and Short. Price is near the Pivot and below EMA200, KD dead cross downward but DMI shows +DI slightly above -DI, signal divergence.
🔹 Long Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: Daily K drops below EMA21 or loses Pivot
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 without breaking, or retest Pivot and regain (not triggered)
🚀 Breakthrough to Add Long: Daily K closes above R1 and simultaneously RSI > 50, MACD bars turn positive
🎯 Take Profit: R1 → R2 → Previous High Area
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: Daily K recovers above EMA20 and R1
🟢 Add Short: Bounce to EMA20 or R1 without exceeding in batches (not triggered)
🚨 Breakthrough to Add Short: Daily K closes below Pivot and yesterday's low and RSI < 50
🎯 Take Profit: S1 → S2 → Previous Wave Pullback Low Area
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#BTC #BTC Trend: Bearish, Moderately Bearish. Closing below EMA9 and EMA20, RSI < 50, KD dead cross and below 20, MACD bars turn negative, ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI.
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: 4H recovers above EMA20 and R1
🟢 Add Short: Bounce tests EMA9/EMA20 without exceeding in batches (not triggered)
🚨 Breakthrough to Add Short: 4H closes below S1 or previous low
🎯 Take Profit: S1 → S2 → S3; Move stop loss after reaching the primary target
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#BTC 1 Hour
#BTC , Minor Bearish. Price drops below EMA9/20 and rebounds under pressure near the Pivot, KD dead cross, MACD bars are negative, ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI.
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: 1H closes above EMA20 and R1
🟢 Add Short: Bounce to EMA9, EMA20, R1 without exceeding in batches (not triggered)
🚨 Breakthrough to Add Short: 1H closes below S1 or Bollinger lower band expands
🎯 Take Profit: Yesterday's low → S1 → S2; After achieving a segment, tighten stop loss
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation base #BTC is biased towards bearish: trading with the right-side bearish resonance of 4H and 1H; the daily line should only be considered for a shift from short to long when closing above R1 and MACD turns positive.
- Confirm short selling with "closing": act after breaking Pivot/previous low, avoiding false breaks.
- A bounce to EMA9/20 or R1 is considered an area to add shorts, enter and exit in batches, strictly adhere to stop-loss; move stop loss to lock in profits once the primary target is reached.
- During consolidation, operate both directions, but do not engage in left-side bottom fishing without right-side bullish confirmation.
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