📍#solana Technical Analysis(2025/08/15 Morning Brief)
Near-term weakness vs intact swing uptrend. Daily stays above EMA9/21/200, but 4H and 1H flipped to right-side bearish. Prefer shorting bounces intraday; only add swing longs on a fresh Daily breakout.
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#SOL Daily
Trend: Bullish, Medium. Above EMA9/21/200 and Pivot; RSI>50, positive MACD histogram, ADX>20 with +DI>-DI. KD has a bearish cross below 80—momentum cooling.
🔹 Long Setup (right-side)
🛑 Stop: Daily close back below EMA21 or Pivot
🟢 Adds: Pullback holds EMA9 or Pivot then stabilizes (Not triggered)
🚀 Breakout Long: Daily close above R1 with expanding MACD and RSI>50
🎯 Targets: R1→R2→prior high area
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#SOL 4H
Trend: Bearish, Medium. Closed below EMA9/21; RSI near 50, KD bearish, MACD negative; ADX>20 with −DI>+DI.
🔻 Short Setup (right-side)
🛑 Stop: 4H close back above EMA20 and R1
🟢 Adds: Failures at EMA9/20 or R1, scale in (Not triggered)
🚨 Breakdown Short: 4H close below S1 or prior low with RSI<50
🎯 Targets: S1→S2→S3; trail after T1
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#SOL 1H
Trend: Bearish, Weak. Trading under EMA9/20 near Pivot; MACD negative, KD bearish, ADX>20 with −DI>+DI.
🔻 Short Setup (right-side)
🛑 Stop: 1H close above EMA20 and R1
🟢 Adds: Pops into EMA9/20 or R1 that reject (Not triggered)
🚨 Breakdown Short: 1H close below S1 or yesterday’s low on volume
🎯 Targets: Yesterday’s low→S1→S2; tighten trail at T1
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【#SOL Strategy Summary】
- Intraday bias bearish via 4H+1H confluence; short breakdowns or sell EMA9/20/R1 rejections.
- Swing longs only on a Daily close above R1 with momentum; stand aside if Daily loses EMA21.
- Act on close-based confirmations, scale positions, respect stops, and trail once first targets hit.
- No special options edge spotted; focus on execution and risk control.
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