20:30 US initial jobless claims data:

Previous value 226,000 vs expected 228,000 (if published > 228,000 = signal of economic recession = bullish for BTC)

If the data unexpectedly drops below 226,000 (strong employment = Fed delays rate cuts = bearish for BTC)

Synchronize PPI monthly rate 0.00% vs previous value 0.20% (deflationary signs = accelerated rate cut expectations = nuclear-level bullish)

Technical signals for long and short kill:

Bollinger Band upper middle line falls + golden cross appears: Amidst the crash hides the main force's trap for inducing short positions, the golden cross suggests that bulls can violently counterattack at any time!

Critical price life-and-death line:

Resistance level 124,474 → 125,000 (dense area of major orders, breakthrough = rocket launch)

Life support at 121,935 (if broken = triggers panic selling → directly drops to 120,723 → 119,000!)

Commission ratio -0.24%: Selling pressure temporarily dominates, but whales are placing tens of thousands of BTC buy orders at 121,935 to protect the market!

Market simulation after tomorrow night's data

If the data is bullish (unemployment ↑ + PPI ↓):

Bullish nuclear explosion market starts: Lightning break through 124,474 → violently overturn 125,000 pressure wall → directly rush to 128,000!

Logic: Rising rate cut expectations + dollar collapse, BTC becomes the first choice for risk-averse whales!

If the data is bearish (unemployment ↓ + PPI ↑):

Short selling bloodbath warning: Instantly breaks through 121,935 → triggers a waterfall of leveraged liquidations → bloodbath down to 120,000 → panic selling rushes to 118,000!

Logic: Continuation of a high-interest environment + institutional selling pressure, retail long positions are scattered everywhere!

Three rules for retail investors to survive

Clear leverage before 20:30 tonight:

Data's previous volatility surged by 300%, high-leverage contracts are bound to become cannon fodder!

Key levels for split-position sniping:

Aggressive: Break through 124,474 to chase long (target 125,000+), with a stop loss at 123,800;

Conservative: Place a limit buy order at 120,723 (stop loss if it drops below 121,935), aiming for a 20% rebound!

Prepare enough ammunition for tomorrow night:

If the bad news hits 118,000, close your eyes and buy the dip in spot (the probability of the Fed cutting rates in September is still 75%)!

Mig's ultimate warning

Tonight will be the bloodiest battle for BTC in 2025! After the main force slaughters the leverage with the data, a one-sided bull market must begin — breaking through 125,000 is just the starting point, under the expectation of a rate cut in September, 150,000 is the endpoint! Retail investors should either hold spot positions or use limit orders to hunt down the main force, never become contract sacrifices!

Still hanging on alone? Pay attention to Mig's nuclear energy team's injection! Only activates the infinite potential of ambitious madmen!