After continuous volume breakout, SOL is hanging between the 'Bollinger upper band + value vacuum' dual traps; short-term only one pullback confirmation remains; if it holds, it will surge to 230, if it falls, it will directly return to 180.

I. Key Ranges and Volume Distribution
1. Value Anchor Zone: POC=181.32, the highest turnover zone in the past two weeks, balanced between bulls and bears; pullback to this level is considered a 'safety cushion.'
2. High Volume Area (HVN):
• 176.7-178.0, accumulated 110 million USDT, preferred for short profit-taking / long replenishment.
• 180.0-181.7, accumulated 115 million USDT, constitutes the intraday volatility center.
3. Low Volume Gap (LVN):
• 195.2-196.8, only 1.2 million USDT traded; once it breaks down, it will accelerate to 190.
• 203.7-204.5, upper sell wall of 2.4 million USDT; breaking through will open up the 210-220 space.
4. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Area: 163.5-189.9; the current price of 203.53 has deviated from the upper band, short-term overbought.
5. Momentum Verification:
• POC area Up/Down ≈ 52:48, balanced;
• Above 195, Up Vol accounts for 73%, buyer dominance;
• Near 204, Up Vol plummeted to 34%, seller ambush.

II. Market Cycle Judgment
The daily level is still in the final stage of an ascending wedge with 'higher highs + decreasing volume,' while the weekly shows the third wave of a bull market. The short-term is at the end of the 'final ascending phase,' facing a pullback at the 4h-12h level at any moment.

III. Trading Strategy
1. Aggressive Long Position: Place a long order on pullback at LVN 195.2±0.3, stop loss at 193.8 (below HVN 194.2 - 0.5×ATR), target 204.5, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.8:1.
2. Conservative Long Position: Wait for a pullback to POC 181.3±0.5 to place a long order, stop loss at 179.8, target 188.0-190.0, risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.2:1.
3. Conservative Short Position: If a rebound at 204.0-204.5 meets resistance and shows a long upper shadow/intraday volume stagnation, a small short position can be taken, stop loss at 205.3, target 195.5, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.6:1.
4. Invalid Condition: Abandon the strategy immediately if the 1h closing price falls below 193.0 or stabilizes above 205.5.

IV. Risk Warning
• Funding rate has risen to 0.01%, bullish leverage is crowded, high risk of violent pullback;
• Sell wall at 204.0 accumulates 1.95 million USDT; if quickly consumed, shorts need to cut losses decisively;
• US stock market opening volatility may cause SOL to fluctuate more than 5% instantly; it is advisable to reduce positions.

V. LP Market Making Suggestions
Range: 181.3-189.9 (covering POC and one HVN on either side), reason:
1. This range accounts for 70% of trading volume, low slippage;
2. High probability of return when prices deviate, earning both trading fees + funding rates;
3. Clear stop-loss zone: stop loss at 1.5% outside the range to avoid unilateral risk.

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$SOL #主流币轮动上涨