Bull Market Power Accumulation Breakthrough Point: Can the TON Bulls Break Through the Key Resistance of 3.55? A Great Sniping Position with High Risk and High Reward!
Currently, TON is in a consolidation accumulation phase within a bullish trend, testing key resistance around 3.5. It is recommended to gradually go long around 3.42 for short-term trades, targeting 3.55, with a stop loss at 3.39, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.6. The risk point is that if the support at 3.39 is lost or selling pressure in the POC area increases, it may trigger a correction of more than 5%.
Key Range Structure and Momentum Verification
1. Range Positioning:
• POC Value Anchor: 3.36 (maximum transaction volume area), where the price is likely to be contested; a break below this level indicates a weakening trend.
• Core HVN Buffer Zone: 3.32-3.43 (high transaction volume dense area), providing strong support; price pullbacks are likely to rebound.
• LVN Breakthrough Gap: 3.69-3.75 (low transaction volume area), easy to accelerate after the breakthrough; the current upper gap of 3.55-3.6 is a key target.
• 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 3.29-3.62, the current price at 3.5 is at the upper-middle edge, not overbought but must be wary of VAH pressure.
2. Momentum Dominance:
• Current Price Area (3.49-3.5) Up Volume accounts for only 41.9%, with sellers slightly dominant; need to wait for buyers to increase volume (>60%) to confirm the breakthrough.
• POC Area (3.36) Down Volume accounts for 51.8%, selling pressure has not dissipated; a breakthrough requires volume ≥ 1.5 times the average of the last 20 periods.
3. Indicator Coordination:
• Price remains above MA200 (3.345) + upper-middle Bollinger Band (62.66%), trend is bullish; however, contract holdings have decreased by 8.22% in 24 hours, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure.
Trading Strategy and Risk Control
• Entry:
• Conservative: 3.42 (inside VAH + lower edge of HVN), must be accompanied by a 1-hour Pin bar and Up Volume > 60%.
• Aggressive: Breakthrough at 3.51 (upper edge of POC) and increase in volume by 1.5 times.
• Stop Loss: 3.39 (lower Bollinger Band + outside of HVN), breaking this level indicates a trend reversal.
• Target: 3.55 (upper LVN gap + liquidity selling pressure area), risk-reward calculation:
• Risk: 3.42-3.39=0.03
• Return: 3.55-3.42=0.13
• Risk-Reward Ratio = 0.13/0.03=4.33 (conservatively taking 2.6 due to liquidity resistance)
• Invalid Conditions: RSI divergence or 30-minute Down Volume > 55%, immediately close the position.
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