🚀 Forecast for Ethereum (ETH)
📅 Snapshot for today (August 13, 2025):
💰 ETH spot price: approx. $4.62k
🏦 TVL in the Ethereum ecosystem (DeFi): $95.5 billion 📈 (+4.8% 24h)
⛽ Fees/gas (mainnet): 0.58–0.85 gwei ⚡
🌉 Layer 2 (L2) – secured value (TVS)
Arbitrum One ~$19.5 billion
Base ~$16.0 billion
🔍 What to expect in the coming weeks (short-term outlook)
1️⃣ After Pectra — stabilization and implementation of results 🛠️
The Pectra update has been on the mainnet since May 7, 2025. Projects are still adjusting tools and UX, which supports adoption and reduces costs during peak load.
2️⃣ Technical calendar on the road to the next fork (“Fusaka”) 🗓️
Public testnets for the Fusaka update are scheduled for September–October 2025, with the mainnet fork tentatively at the beginning of November 2025. Key changes: PeerDAS, gas/blob optimization, network resilience.
3️⃣ Transaction costs and throughput ⛽📉
Today's very low gwei readings plus rising volumes on L2 suggest that activity is shifting to rollups. The mainnet remains the settlement layer.
4️⃣ DeFi and liquidity 💧📈
TVL ~ $95.5 billion on Ethereum and strong L2 positions indicate a return of liquidity to protocols. Monitor TVL changes (DefiLlama) and flows between L1/L2 (L2BEAT).
⚠️ What to watch out for (risks in the weekly horizon)
🌐 Macro volatility and regulatory risk (sudden changes in sentiment).
🛡️ Technical risk (delays in testnets, incidents in DeFi).
🔄 Capital rotation between L1/L2 and altcoins.
📌 How to read this and what to monitor daily (checklist)
📈 Price and volatility of ETH
🏦 TVL (DefiLlama) and L2 share (L2BEAT)
⛽ Gas (Etherscan Gas Tracker) — a quick barometer of demand
🗓️ Progress regarding Fusaka — dates and details
💡 Note: the above is market-educational information, not investment advice.
