A fresh wave of retail liquidity is pushing SOL closer to a 3-year brewing breakout, but a stacking catalyst for demand could send the Solana price outlook parabolic.
The altcoin continues to notch higher lows since mid-April, with a 12% surge over the past week marking the third bottom as bullish momentum builds.
This strength is backed by a Trump-signed executive order granting crypto assets exposure to the $9 trillion 401(k) retirement investment market, with the potential to benefit Solana.
Speculators now anticipate up to four U.S. interest rate cuts before year-end, starting as early as September, with the potential to stimulate new inflows into risk assets like crypto.
Rate cuts in September 
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— Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) August 10, 2025
Still, near-term volatility is likely, with the August 12 PPI and August 14 CPI inflation readings set to influence the Fed’s rate-cut timeline.
Solana Price Analysis: $10,000 SOL Within Reach?
This sequence of higher highs has tracked along the lower support trendline of an ascending channel in play since 2022, now nearing its apex.
SOL / USDT 1-day chart, 3-year ascending triangle. Source: TradingView, Binance.
The breakout threshold sits near $280, but with the latest higher low and momentum indicators flipping bullish for the first time since July, a move could be building for a retest.
The RSI has reclaimed bullish territory above the neutral line at 55, suggesting buyer dominance.
Meanwhile, the MACD formed a golden cross over the weekend, crossing above the signal line, often marking the start of a mid-term uptrend on the daily timeframe.
In a breakout scenario, Solana could surge toward $1,000 for a potential 470% gain, driven by deeper U.S. TradFi integration.
With possible 401(k) adoption, and the October 10 deadline for a spot Solana ETF approval, the added fuel of rate cuts could attract significant retail and institutional interest.
BREAKING:
BLOOMBERG’S ETF ANALYSTS HAVE RAISED APPROVAL ODDS FOR MOST SPOT CRYPTO ETFS TO OVER 90 PERCENT.
THE GREEN LIGHT IS LOOKING CLOSER THAN EVER 
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— DustyBC Crypto (@TheDustyBC) June 21, 2025
However, the pattern’s full breakout potential sits around $10,000, though this will likely be realised with sustained long-term demand and ecosystem adoption extending into the next market cycle.
As breakout narratives like RWA mature, platforms like xStocks will likely prove central to this target, with Solana’s emerging role as the go-to for tokenized equity.
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