Today, I decided to sell 33% of my Ethereum ($ETH) holdings. Some might call me crazy or premature — but I’ve been through this before in 2017 and 2021, and I’m following proven patterns that history keeps repeating. Here’s why I plan to fully exit my crypto positions by the end of October, and why you should start thinking about it too.
---
1️⃣ Still Bullish, But Planning to Exit by October
Right now, the crypto market looks strong. Bitcoin (BTC) has doubled from its yearly lows, signaling strong momentum and institutional demand. Ethereum has broken and stayed above $4,200, setting the stage for a possible final breakout in the coming weeks.
The setup is bullish — but every cycle ends the same way: sharp and brutal crashes happen quickly once the peak is reached. Staying ahead of that crash is key.
---
2️⃣ $ETH Price Target: $5,800 to $6,000
If the bull run continues, my short-term target for ETH is between $5,800 and $6,000. That’s roughly 3x from the cycle’s bottom and aligns with historical mid-cycle extension levels.
Once ETH peaks, capital usually rotates heavily from BTC to ETH, then to large-cap altcoins, and finally to smaller, riskier coins — which is where the biggest profits, and risks, lie.
---
3️⃣ The Classic Capital Rotation Cycle: BTC → ETH → Large Caps → Small Caps
This capital flow pattern happened in 2017 and 2021 without exception. Right now, we’re in the ETH dominance phase, filled with euphoria and peak liquidity.
This phase typically lasts only a few weeks before liquidity dries up and money exits the market. If you haven’t planned your exit, you risk becoming someone else’s liquidity.
---
4️⃣ My Price Predictions for End of 2025
I expect Bitcoin to show top signs by late September, with Ethereum following shortly after.
By the end of October, BTC could retrace back to around $55,000, ETH to $1,400, and SOL around $75. This isn’t pessimism — it’s based on historical post-peak correction patterns.
Smart money usually exits months ahead, long before retail investors realize the party is over.
---
5️⃣ Why Sell While the Market Is Still Strong?
The market doesn’t give you much time to react when momentum fades. Altcoins can drop 20-30% in a single day and rarely revisit previous highs in the same cycle.
When liquidity evaporates, founders disappear, narratives collapse, and support levels get smashed immediately.
If you don’t sell while the market is healthy, you’ll end up panic selling — which is almost never profitable.
---
6️⃣ Key Indicators Confirming a Cycle Top Are Already Showing
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) above +0.75 means most holders are sitting on huge unrealized profits — a major warning sign.
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) turning negative indicates coins are being sold at a loss after the euphoria peaks.
MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) deep in the red zone means the market value is far above the actual cost basis — an unsustainable position.
---
7️⃣ Watch BTC Dominance and Altseason Signals
If BTC dominance breaks down while ETH peaks, it signals the altseason blow-off top — a euphoric but dangerous phase.
An Altseason Index above 65 shows speculative mania is in full swing. This phase looks bullish but is actually the riskiest time to hold.
Smart investors exit while they still feel confident they can make “one more trade.”
---
8️⃣ My Selling Strategy: Gradual Exit, Not All at Once
Step 1: Take profits on the riskiest altcoins first, especially meme coins and low liquidity tokens.
Step 2: Exit large-cap altcoins like SOL, AVAX, and MATIC as capital rotation peaks.
Step 3: Gradually reduce $ETH and $BTC positions, moving into stablecoins and safer income-generating assets by mid-October.
---
9️⃣ Why I’m Still Optimistic for a Short-Term Rally
The anticipated interest rate cut in September could inject fresh capital, fueling the final bull run’s last leg with strong, fast moves.
But this rally will happen in weeks, not months — so having a clear exit plan now is absolutely critical.
Waiting for the “perfect moment” usually means you’ve waited too long.
---
🔟 Biggest Mistake Traders Make: Expecting a Soft Correction
A 10% dip often snowballs into 30% or 50%, trapping holders for years before prices recover.
I’ve made that mistake — now I sell when markets are strong, not weak.
Bear markets hit suddenly, not gradually.
---
⏸️ Final Thoughts: Protect Your Gains and Don’t Chase the Peak
You don’t have to sell everything immediately. Selling gradually lets you keep some exposure in case the rally continues.
Your goal should be to walk away with life-changing profits, not gamble on timing the exact top.
If you’re up 20x, don’t risk it all waiting for 22x. Protect your hard-earned gains before the market takes them back.
---
1️⃣2️⃣ The Cycle Top Looks Like the Most Bullish Moment
Record volume, nonstop ATH headlines, endless hype — that’s when smart money quietly sells off.
If you want to be in that smart group, you must prepare your exit by October.
When the music stops, it will be too late to find a seat.
---
🔥 Stay smart. Plan ahead. Protect your profits. The crypto bull run will end sooner than you think. 🚀💎
#Crypto2025 #Ethereum #Bitcoin #Altseason #CryptoTrading $ETH