Ethereum (ETH) Short-term Trading Strategies and Trend Strength Guidance

I. Core Signals for Long and Short Positions

• Long Strategy:

1. Volume breakout at $4264 → enter long on the right side, use "retracement to this level" as a dynamic stop-loss (to confirm the validity of the breakout);

2. Pullback to $4190 with valid support → light position to test long, stop-loss at $4151 (if broken, support is invalid);

3. Stabilizing at $4292 on the hourly chart → trend continuation signal, targets sequentially at $4321 → $4385;

4. Left-side ambush: place long orders at $4099, stop-loss at $4044 (extreme pullback layout, proceed with caution).

• Short Strategy:

1. Volume breakdown below $4247 → enter short on the right side, strictly maintain stop-loss (to guard against pullback risks);

2. Resistance encountered at $4354 → light position to test short, stop-loss if it breaks and stabilizes above $4385 (critical point in pressure level defense).

II. Key Levels and Trend Boundaries

• Resistance Level Ladder: $4292 (hourly breakout confirmation line) → $4321 (short-term target) → $4385 (trend watershed);

• Support Level Bottom Line: $4220 (immediate defense line) → $4152 (pullback buffer level) → $4105 (deep pullback limit).

• 4-hour Key Signal: If it breaks below $4221, look for $4156 → $4073, pullback space opens; conversely, if it holds, maintain a strong pattern.

III. Core Anchor Point for Trend Strength: Yellow Trend Line

The current key premise for the bullish strength of Ethereum is "pulling back without breaking the yellow trend line" — as long as the trend line support is valid, bullish momentum will continue to dominate the market. This trend line is both the guardian of the short-term upward rhythm and the core reference for judging strength and weakness, requiring close attention.

Summary: Signals are king, trend is key

Core Operation: Long positions rely on the breakout at $4264 and stabilization at $4292 to follow up, while short positions focus on the breakdown at $4247 and resistance at $4354, while closely monitoring the defensive effect of the yellow trend line. Discipline first, do not guess tops and bottoms, let the levels and trends tell you the answer.