The next month and a half could be a key moment for #Bitcoin , according to well-known trader Peter Brandt.
In a recent post on social media, Brandt explained how he sees Bitcoin’s price cycles. He focused on the halving event, which happens about every four years and reduces the number of new Bitcoins created by 50%. Brandt believes the halving usually marks the halfway point in Bitcoin’s journey from a low price to a high price. Based on his analysis, Bitcoin could hit a short-term peak in the next six weeks before possibly facing a pullback.
#Bitcoin ’s price has already shown some strength. After falling to $112,000 on August 2, it has recovered to trade above $117,000 — the range it stayed in for much of July. As of now, Bitcoin is at $117,656, up 0.89% in the past 24 hours and 3.6% over the past week. Its latest record high came on July 14, when it moved above $123,000.
The Four-Year Cycle
For years, #Bitcoin has often followed a four-year price pattern linked to the halving. After the halving, prices usually climb for months, hit a new record, and then drop sharply by 70–80%. This is followed by a long quiet period, often called crypto winter. Before the next halving, prices tend to rise again, and the cycle repeats.
But some experts think this pattern might be changing. The launch of Bitcoin ETFs, more interest from big investors, and better regulation are all influencing the market in new ways. Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, says the old cycle could be ending. However, he believes we will know for sure only in 2026. If Bitcoin stays strong then, it would confirm that the market has entered a new phase.
Trader Tips for the Next Six Weeks
With the market at a possible turning point, traders may want to:
Take Partial Profits – Secure gains while keeping some exposure.
Use Stop-Loss Orders – Protect against sudden downturns.
Watch Key Price Levels – Resistance near $123K, support near $112K.
Avoid Heavy Leverage – Volatility could increase sharply.
Stay Informed – Track global news, ETF flows, and regulations.
Diversify Holdings – Spread risk beyond Bitcoin.
Plan Your Exits – Know when to take profits or cut losses.
For now, all eyes are on the next six weeks to see if Brandt’s prediction comes true — and whether Bitcoin’s old cycle still holds.
