Bitcoin (BTC), duniya ka sab se mashhoor cryptocurrency, ab $120,000 ke critical level ke bohat qareeb aa gaya hai. Filhal BTC $117,500 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jisme pichlay 24 ghanton mein lagbhag 1% ka izafa hua hai, aur iss hafte BTC ne 3.6% ka acha rally dikhaya hai. Bitcoin ka market capitalization ab tak $2.34 trillion ke kareeb hai, aur rozana trading volume $58 billion se zyada hai. Institutional demand barhne aur market dynamics ke badalne se Bitcoin ke purane price cycles mein tabdeeli aa rahi hai.
Market Cycles Mein Tabdeeli: Halving Model Ab Badal Raha Hai
Bitcoin ki history mein chaar saal ka halving cycle hota hai, jisme mining rewards har chaar saal mein aadhe ho jate hain, aur aam tor par iske baad ek saal mein price peak dekhne ko milti hai. Pehle ke cycles mein price peaks ke baad 70–80% tak corrections dekhe gaye.
Lekin 2024 ne is narrative ko badal diya hai. Is saal March mein Bitcoin ne $73,000 tak ka high touch kiya jo ke puranay cycles ke peak se zyada tha. Is change ke peeche kuch important wajahain hain:
U.S. Bitcoin ETFs ki barhti hui popularity, jo zyada institutional paisa la rahi hain.
Bitcoin ecosystem ki maturity, jisme infrastructure aur investors dono zyada mazboot aur samajhdar ho gaye hain.
Price corrections ki severity kam ho gayi hai, jahan is cycle mein sab se bara correction sirf 26% tha.
Experts jaise ke Ryan Chow (Solv Protocol) aur Matt Hougan (Bitwise) kehte hain ke aage future mein declines 30–50% ke darmiyan rahenge, jo Bitcoin ko long-term investors ke liye zyada attractive banayega kyun ke volatility kam aur growth sustainable hogi.
Tokenized Stocks Aur Blockchain Ki Wide Adoption
Bitcoin ke price ke sath sath, poora crypto ecosystem bhi tezi se grow kar raha hai, jis se market interest barhta ja raha hai:
Tokenized Stocks: Kraken ne xStocks launch kiye hain, jo 1:1 backing ke sath tokenized stocks hain, aur sirf $10 se trade kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh product Middle East, Asia aur Latin America mein available hai, jald Europe mein bhi launch hoga. Tesla token (TSLAx) ne pichlay mahine 102.9% ka zabardast gain diya, jo iss sector ki growth ko dikhata hai.
Decentralized Exchange Trading: Coinbase ne apne U.S. app mein DEX trading shuru ki hai (New York ke alawa), jisme users Uniswap, Aerodrome jaise DEXs par directly trade kar sakte hain. Yeh development self-custody ko promote karta hai aur post-FTX duniya mein token access ko badhawa deta hai.
Technical Analysis: $120,000 Breakout Ke Liye Tayyari
Bitcoin ke daily chart par bullish signs hain:
Price bullish flag ke upar test kar raha hai, jo July mein $123,250 rally ke baad bana.
Support $113,435 par 50-day SMA aur upward trend line ki taraf se mil raha hai.
Fibonacci retracement level 0.382 ($113,678) ne recent bounce diya hai.
Momentum indicators bhi bullish hain:
RSI mid-50s se upar ja raha hai aur abhi tak overbought zone mein nahi hai, jiska matlab aur upar jaane ki gunjaish hai.
MACD bullish crossover ke qareeb hai, jo aur tez rally ka indication deta hai.
Agar Bitcoin $117,335 se upar close karta hai to $123,250 aur phir $127,000 tak ja sakta hai. Support zone $113,400 se $113,600 ke darmiyan hai.
Traders ke liye $116,500–$117,300 ka dip buying ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai, jisme stop loss $113,400 ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai.
Institutional Flows, Regulatory Clarity Aur Mass Adoption: $130,000 Ke Liye Fuel
Institutional investments, regulatory clarity, aur blockchain adoption ki wajah se Bitcoin ke price mein $130,000 ka breakout possible hai. Yeh tailwinds BTC ko nayi growth stage mein le jayenge — kam volatility ke sath, sustainable growth aur wider investor base ke sath.
---
Natija
Bitcoin $120,000 ke kareeb strong momentum ke sath aage badh raha hai, jisme purane market cycles ki tabdeeli aur institutional demand key role play kar rahi hai. Strong technical aur fundamental factors Bitcoin ko naye highs tak le jane ke liye tayar kar rahe hain.
Investors aur traders ko chahiye ke woh critical price levels aur market signals par nazar rakhein aur apne risk ko achi tarah manage karein.
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC #CryptoPrediction #CryptoAnalysis #Blockchain $BTC