Recent mindset? Just like my position—steady as an old dog.

Ethereum (ETH) is firmly above $4000, and the trend is incredibly strong. Given the current intensity, it's not surprising if it touches $5000 before November.

This round of ETH is simply 'steady yet fierce.' Even though there have been multiple divergence signals on the daily chart, the price remains strong. Looking back at history, the last time we saw this kind of 'divergence stacking yet moving upwards' trend was during the big bull market of 2020-2021.

Currently, ETH is just a step away from the historical high of $4800, remaining in a healthy overall shape. As for the target above? I won't guess, whether it's $4800, $5200, $6400, $8800, or even $10000—when any of these levels come, I will do just one thing: seize the opportunity and act directly.

ETH's 'Doubling Rhythm'

Reviewing the last 7 major waves, each round started from a phase bottom and then doubled before reaching the top. The starting point for this round is $2120, and according to this pattern, the top area is most likely around $4240, with an additional 5%-10% fluctuation range being reasonable. However, the real hardcore resistance level is at the historical peak of $4800, and based on experience, it is highly likely that a decent pullback will occur around this level—at that time, I would choose to reduce my position or even use a small position to hedge with low leverage shorts.

Response strategy for missing this round

There are two paths: for short-term gains, shift to small-cap coins in the ETH ecosystem, like PEPE (target around $0.13) and ENA (target around $0.78), and buy on dips after corrections.

Be patient and lay low: wait for the market to panic before entering, do not chase highs, and do not increase positions in a state of extreme greed. Old traders understand this rhythm—one may not buy at the lowest or sell at the highest, but the account curve remains stable over the long term.


Current directions for some altcoins

#Pepe: Once the market starts, it usually lasts for about a week. Those with heavy positions can consider reducing some around $0.00001400. If it breaks the neckline in the medium term, the target directly points to 2100.

#ADA: The increase in the past 24 hours is 5%, the MACD is about to form a golden cross, and the short-term resistance looks at the range of $1.03-$1.2.

#LINK: Chainlink launches the Reserve plan, using proceeds to buy back LINK, which adds a long-term buying engine. My long-term grid position has held 26%, and the target for this year remains to double to $40-$50.

  • #BNB: The target price remains $1000.

  • #DOGE: The target price remains $0.4.

On-chain strategy mindset

  • BSC: Look for high-control targets for the medium to long term, while keeping an eye on official Twitter trends for short-term.

  • SOL: Suitable for news-driven or narrative trading; to play well, one needs to understand overseas culture.

  • Alpha low-market-cap projects: Many targets have already started to gain momentum, and those who positioned themselves early may reap the entire trend.

Now let's talk about our internal group:

Closing thoughts

ETH has both fundamental and sentiment drivers, making it the core engine of the bull market; small coins are the seasoning for short-term gains. A bull market is not afraid of rapid increases, but rather of being slow to act or having a chaotic mindset.

Remember two phrases: Go with the trend, make fewer predictions; panic buying is the real low-buy.