Recently, top analysts (like Tom Lee) have said that Ethereum (ETH) could reach $15,000. Why such optimism? The core reason is that he thinks the folks on Wall Street have 'overthought' things.
Those people on Wall Street really love to sift through spreadsheets, staring all day at figures like gas fees (which are transaction fees) and stablecoin trading volumes. The result? They get confused and think too much, so they become too afraid to act, which is called 'analysis paralysis.'
The real issue is not whether the calculations are detailed, but whether the 'big direction' is correct! Tom Lee believes that Ethereum's greatest value lies in it being a 'rule-following' blockchain, which is becoming increasingly important. It's like how many people didn't pay attention to the S&P 500 index back in the day, only to realize later they were mistaken.
He is looking at the future: Ethereum is likely to become the infrastructure of the future financial and AI world, just like the concrete and steel for laying a foundation. What about the current price? He thinks it's still far off; the potential has not been recognized by the market at all.
(Also briefly touch on the economic part)
Tom Lee also talked about the economy: although some question the official data (from the Bureau of Labor Statistics), and others are worried about a recession, the overall economy is actually quite strong. No one has been able to accurately predict a recession in the past 30 years. Now companies are being quite cautious with their investments (the ISM index has been below 50 for 29 months), somewhat similar to how the previous 'tariff shock' made everyone a bit calmer, preventing the economy from overheating. He believes the economic cycle is still in the 'mid-stage', or even a bit early.
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